ominous news means empty stadium photo [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Unverified Voracity Had A False Negative Comment Count

Brian October 15th, 2020 at 3:47 PM

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Corona chronicles. How it's going:

  • Missouri-Vandy and Florida-LSU are postponed after outbreaks. They've bumped those games to the open week the SEC implemented before the championship game. Next week's Mizzou-Florida game is in serious doubt since you're supposed to isolate for ten days after a positive test.
  • Ole Miss is having an outbreak but "could play" as of yesterday.
  • Baylor-OSU is postponed after an outbreak at Baylor is blamed on a false negative. An infected person was tested, test threw up a false negative, and then everyone got on a plane. The supposed false negative is from a point-of-contact antigen test. Yikes.
  • FAU-USM is also postponed.
  • Nick Saban and Alabama AD Greg Byrne both tested positive. Saban joins Mike Norvell, Les Miles, and Kevin Sumlin as P5 head coaches who have tested positive.
  • Nebraska announced a free watch party at their basketball arena, and then immediately canceled it. We do not have to revisit our "dumbest way to get coronavirus" gimmicky top five. "Watching Nebraska get hammered by 50 points" was an easy #1 otherwise.
  • CUSA pushed back its title game to December 18th in an effort to get games in.

Saban getting infected is alarming for the Big Ten's prospects. Alabama is Alabama and has been administering daily tests. Saban himself has taken every reasonable precaution. Also alarming: Baylor is using those quick point of contact tests and one false negative blew it all up. Baylor's opsec was insufficient, perhaps inevitably:

Rhoades said his team was "really spaced out well" on the team flight and bus rides and was compliant in wearing masks and goggles in transit. He speculated that spread could have occurred during team dinner the night before the Oct. 3 game or in the visiting locker room at West Virginia's Milan Puskar Stadium, citing "very cramped quarters." Most visiting college football locker rooms are smaller than the home teams' locker rooms.

It is very easy to see this happening in the Big Ten, at which point that team will likely be cancelling three games.

[After THE JUMP: nobody's watching anyway]

Quote from man stabbed. Seven years later, an incredible story arising from the Michigan-Louisville national title game:

My alibi is that I was in the arena at the time, only wishing I could stab someone.

Nobody is watching the sports. It's carnage out there:

There's no one reason sports viewing has dropped off a cliff. It's a combination of many things. This Yahoo article seems to get things exactly backwards:

Activism? Election? Pandemic challenges? New Marist poll suggests none of them are causing sports' TV ratings decline

No, the increased political activism in professional sports doesn’t explain the ratings decline.

And no, the sports where that activism is the most pronounced, like the NBA, haven’t suffered more in comparison.

The presidential election isn’t distracting people from sports.

The changes to the rules and viewer experience during the pandemic have not, in fact, caused people to tune out, either.

It's not "none of the above." It's all of the above. Then this article relates the results from the poll, which clearly state that all of these things have affected some portion of the survey respondents:

64 percent of respondents said the election hadn’t influenced their sports viewing. … The rule changes, most noticeably in baseball, and lack of live fans weren’t a major factor either. More than seven in 10 fans said those were inconsequential.

Put another way, 36% of respondents said the election had influenced their sports viewing and ~30% said rules changes and the weird atmosphere were a factor. Even if there's significant overlap between those two groups—I'm in both—that explains a hell of a lot of the decline in ratings, and then everything happening all at once gets you most of the rest of the way.

Rehashing a 20-year-old loss is on brand. The Athletic has an oral history of That Northwestern Game, which is the exact moment when spread-to-run became the new paradigm. David Terrell: 

David Terrell (Michigan wide receiver): We knew it was going to be a fight as every game is, but who fucking knew we were gonna have to score 50 points to just try to keep a win?

It still stings when people say the things, sometimes.

Danielson: I don’t think Michigan made any changes in defense at all. They lined up the way they used to line up. They didn’t put anybody over the slots. They gave Zak a lot of easy throws. I was just like, “Whoa, they didn’t really prepare for this game at all.”

Not so much because this one Northwestern game was devastating but because Michigan did not learn nearly fast enough from it, despite being the ones getting immolated. That slowness to adapt is the main reason the Big Ten went from Big Two, Little X to OSU dominion.

Four-year Piesman run upcoming. Iowa State has a commit from a QB/DT. Yes. Yes they do:

Never let it be said that there is not beauty in this world.

A very hockey solution. CUSA's attempting to reduce travel and has stumbled on the hockey way to do things:

That'll also give them four days between the Saturday game and the next week to catch any transmissions. Commenters are outraged that you might have to spend four days in El Paso. At least it's not Lubbock?

The worst tournament in sports, continued. The NCAA hockey tournament has announced regional sites through 2026. There is a regional in Toledo. The other "Midwest" regionals: Allentown, PA; Allentown, PA; Maryland Heights, MO; Allentown, PA; Sioux Falls, SD.

At some point some of this falls on Michigan, which should be bidding in Toledo annually. The Toledo bid that did succeed was sponsored by BGSU. But also: when that regional happens it will be a decade since there was a regional in Indiana/Ohio/Michigan, which have almost a quarter of D-1 programs. Incredible.

Etc.: Michigan is a 2.5 point underdog at Minnesota. Quit selling guys, Dortmund. If you bet on "Greek system COVID outbreak" please collect your 35 cents. The Sklars interact with Juwan Howard back when both were students. More details on Mustapha Muhammad's abrupt departure from Michigan.

Comments

Elno Lewis

October 15th, 2020 at 7:22 PM ^

Why the hell am I getting all kinds of stupid ads on this site now?

What the fawk is "infolinks"?

 

How many yachts do the brain cook need?

Carpetbagger

October 15th, 2020 at 8:46 PM ^

So college football is down 30%? Per game? In total weekend viewership? I don't see from the graphic what measurement is being used.

If it's total viewership and 40% of the teams aren't even playing yet, I'd say it's looking pretty good.

pdgoblue25

October 16th, 2020 at 9:37 AM ^

I think once sports went away casual fans realized they never gave a shit to begin with. 

The news being released that only 20% of active NBA players were registered to vote killed them.  Plus the entire setup, while necessary, was stupid.  No travel, not having to play at the opposing team's arena, no fans, terrible product.  They aren't mutually exclusive, it can be both necessary and a terrible product.

The PGA weathering the storm doesn't surprise me.  The product on television didn't really change, in fact in some aspects it's better without having to hear some asshole yell something stupid right after contact.  It's on all day so it doesn't affect my plans, and I'm not getting lectured to.

It still boils down to the players vs the course which is a nice change of pace to everyday life these days where everything else is: Me against you, us against them, you're a fucking idiot, no you are.

Michigan4Life

October 16th, 2020 at 11:14 AM ^

Michigan's reluctance to adapt to the ever-changing college football world from MANBALL to spread n shred is what cost Michigan's place in the B1G conference and they're paying for it because they allowed OSU to distance themselves from the pack in which it became the OSU and everyone else in the conference. Yes, RR didn't work out for several reasons but it's pretty telling that Michigan resisted his spread offense because it's not real Michigan football that Brady Hoke tried to restore it and only to backfire spectacularly.

Plus, Ron English defense drove me crazy with how he handled the spread offense. I think Lloyd Carr just thought they would line up and win one on one because they had superior talent which is true most of the time. His reluctance to adapt is what caused him to lose to Appy State and Oregon.  When we finally get to see the spread offense and opened up the playbook against Florida, that game is why we get so frustrated with Carr. Michigan could've been so much better if Lloyd Carr had simply adapted

mi93

October 16th, 2020 at 3:30 PM ^

The Sklar brothers story is awesome.  I was fortunate to be on campus at the same time and to also know Juwan then, and have a near identical story and experience.  Just a wonderful person.

The school and the program are incredibly blessed to have him.