Michigan -9.5 at Purdue
For my fellow gambling degenerates.
Michigan is currently -9.5 at Purdue. The line has bounced back and forth between 8-10. Purdue is 2-1 and more importantly for some 3-0 ATS.
For value purposes, I have a bet from preseason on this game of Purdue +22, so quite the dramatic shift in 3 weeks.
Michigan also 3-0, but only 1-2 ATS.
Purdue is off to a great start but will have major disadvantages in the trenches on both sides of the ball (they only have 1 sack on the year). So who's laying the points this weekend?
Also of interest:
Notre Dame -3.5 at MSU
UNLV +39 at Ohio State
EDIT: Updated Purdue's record, they are 2-1* but 3-0 ATS
September 17th, 2017 at 9:38 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 9:48 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 11:08 PM ^
Oh? Do tell.
September 18th, 2017 at 9:12 AM ^
September 18th, 2017 at 10:27 AM ^
She must have also said, "Ohio State is fine with me since they are all melting hippos"
September 17th, 2017 at 11:34 PM ^
September 18th, 2017 at 2:20 AM ^
It's biological. Just ensuring passing of his genes.
September 17th, 2017 at 10:15 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 10:59 PM ^
So is saying Wisky.
September 18th, 2017 at 7:56 AM ^
September 18th, 2017 at 10:25 AM ^
Posting to the rest of the board telling them to stop. Like anyone gives a fuck what you want.
September 18th, 2017 at 12:07 AM ^
I've seen that some of the Badgers themselves are now using "Sconnie"...even have T-shirts with the nickname.
September 18th, 2017 at 12:10 AM ^
September 18th, 2017 at 8:33 AM ^
the brah-iest of nicknames.
September 18th, 2017 at 12:08 PM ^
How 'bout Wiscy?
September 18th, 2017 at 12:26 PM ^
OSU did take a knee in the red zone to end the game against Army. That's not really running it up IMO.
September 17th, 2017 at 9:38 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 9:39 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 9:42 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 9:44 PM ^
Glad you're not my financial advisor.
September 17th, 2017 at 9:47 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 9:50 PM ^
Not really a fan of cannibalism.
September 17th, 2017 at 9:51 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 10:46 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 11:14 PM ^
but Wimbush couldn't hit a cow's ass with a banjo. He is a rich man's Damion Terry.
September 18th, 2017 at 8:09 AM ^
September 18th, 2017 at 9:22 AM ^
It's a Damion Terry who smokes Dunhills and orders sushi by the Japanese names.
September 18th, 2017 at 5:44 AM ^
Dude went 11/24 for 96 yds and an INT vs a fading Boston College. Will be interesting to see how ND's run heavy attack does vs an apparently improved MSU D
September 17th, 2017 at 10:01 PM ^
and while we love to bathe in Domer tears, I think Kelly is going to get them to 8, maybe 9 wins this year. Stanford no longer looks like a safe loss for ND, and I think they beat Sparty handily. Mork is spending every waking minute getting ready for us; withhis talent he has to pick his battles, and he'll prep for us rather than ND.
September 17th, 2017 at 10:06 PM ^
If Dantonio is stupid enough to blow a chance to beat a meh Notre Dame team when his depleted Spartans actually have a decent shot of winning that game (home night game) only to ensure that his team can "Lose With Dignity" against UM in Ann Arbor, he should be fired immediately.
September 17th, 2017 at 10:16 PM ^
Their best rusher is the QB and he's no Denard. I would bet your house on ND.
September 17th, 2017 at 9:42 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 9:47 PM ^
I like Iowa a lot as well. In Iowa City, at night, first time this year PSU will be tested, and Iowa is a better team this year. I have a hunch Iowa has a good chance here, and I definitely think they'll cover 12pts.
September 17th, 2017 at 10:10 PM ^
I picked Iowa for the straight up win several weeks before the season. I'm slightly less confident in that pick based on the way Iowa has looked thus far but the Hawkeyes are good for one inexplicable win (usually a home night game) every season. Last year, UM had the bad luck of being the victim, this year I think PSU fans will be shaking their collective heads at a WTF? loss in Iowa City.
September 17th, 2017 at 10:16 PM ^
Really? You're less confident? I've liked Iowa to win this game since before the season as well, but I was always unsure what their QB would look like. I think Stanley has far exceeded my expectations. It will be the first time PSU plays a top 50 S&P+ team, with a top 20 defense. It's probably the first bowl team they play as well. Should be a good game!
September 18th, 2017 at 3:09 AM ^
September 18th, 2017 at 8:28 AM ^
This game is where we'll see if the arm punt offense is still living on the luck it had last year. I'm in the camp that says it comes back to Earth. Wouldn't be surprised to see them lose to Iowa...
September 17th, 2017 at 9:44 PM ^
Purdue is 2-1. They beat an Ohio team that will finish in the bottom half of the MAC this year and a Missouri team that had fired their Defensive Coordinator the week of the game when the staff realized that the DC had lied on his application saying that he actually knew what defense was. Purdue put up a hell of a fight against a Louisville team that, granted has the reigning Heisman winner, but looks much worse than their squad last year. They got absolutely bullied by Clemson the other night.
Purdue is certainly improved under Brohm, who is a great coach. But, like you said, they will be at a serious defecit on both lines, and they'll face an above average defense for the first time this year.
We're a lock to cover.
September 17th, 2017 at 9:50 PM ^
My mistake, 2-1 record, 3-0 ATS.
I tend to agree, it's tough to lay 10 with our offensive struggles right now, but they will really have a hard time protecting the QB and they get almost no pressure on opposing QBs (1 sack on the season)
September 17th, 2017 at 9:57 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 10:03 PM ^
Yeah but the last two spreads have been 34 and 26. This is 10 points. We've won every game by 16pts or more, and Florida and Air Force are both better than Purdue.
September 17th, 2017 at 10:07 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 10:27 PM ^
Now THAT I would bet a lot of money on. Florida is still good enough to win the SEC East (whatever that means to you), and are possibly the frontrunners after beating Tennessee. Florida will win 8 or 9 games this year, as per usual.
September 17th, 2017 at 10:54 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 10:29 PM ^
September 18th, 2017 at 6:13 AM ^
I don't think we're on Clemson's level defensively. Top 5 sure, but man, they are really good.
September 17th, 2017 at 11:02 PM ^
Not a chance they beat Florida. People are giving them too much credit. They aren't good.
September 18th, 2017 at 12:42 AM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 10:13 PM ^
September 17th, 2017 at 10:25 PM ^
You'd have a hard time backing up that Florida's offense is the worst in Power 5. They're 74th in S&P (above Wake Forest, Vandy, Iowa, and Minnesota among S&P top 50 teams). Air Force will win 10 games this year and plays a style of ball that will keep most games closer than you think they should be, talent be damned. We held them to under 200 yds rushing - first time that's happened in 53 games.
This is not the Ohio unit that used to get to the MAC championship. Louisville also barely beat a bad UNC team. We're fine, Purdue will be overwhelmed, and we will cover this week.