Musings on our First Game

Submitted by michgoblue on

Now that we are one game (3/4 of a game?) into the new season, I thought I would share some thoughts on what we may be able to devine from our opener to pass some time on a slow post-labor day Tuesday.  My observations on the game:

1.  Denard is going to be fine in the "new offense." 

Al Borges did, in fact, tailer the offense to Denard, as we saw plenty of looks out of the gun, and even some read option.  AS for the "new stuff," while Denard was a bit off on some throws, it was the first game and he and the receivers will improve their timing over the season.  Denard is never going to be a Tom Brady / Chad Henne type of QB - his long ball, while nice on occasion, will always cause me to skip a heart beat or three, and his reads may always be questionable (although, again, this will likely improve as his comfort level improves - but his legs are such an awesome weapon that he is going to be deadly once he gets a bit more comfortable.

Also, I highly doubt that we saw much of what our actual offense is going to look like, since this was a cupcake game and we stayed pretty vanilla.  For example, I suspect that we will see the much-discussed speed option deployed, along with a whole host of reverses, slants, designed runs (there was only 1 or 2), etc. when we play ND next week.  Good call by Borges and Co. to keep the offense hidden.  Also smart call to

2.  Running backs who run the ball.

One aspect of the old offense that I didn't love was the lack of involvement from the RBs.  Sure, V. Smith would run on first and pick up 1-2 yards with frustrating regularity, and every so often a RB would factor in, but aside from Denard, we never established the RBs in the run game.  So, I was thrilled to see the emergence of Fitz and Shaw as viable (and for Fitz, more than viable) B10 running backs.  Both looked good, with Fitz looking like the hype may have been justified.  I am excited to see these guys establish a ground and pound aspect of our multi-faceted attack.  Having solid WRs who can stretch the field (both vertically and horizontally), and strong RBs will not allow defenses to focus so heavily on Denard, making him all the more effective.

3.  That first D outing that took half of the first quarter . . . gulp?

So, I am probably one of the earlies and most enthusiastic member of the Hoke/Mattison/Borges-hey-these-guys-are-not-RR-so-they-are-awesome club, but during that first series, even I found myself saying "wow, looks just like last year."  WMU marched down the field on one of the soul-crushing, clock-crunching drives that we became accustomed to last year.  They exploited our weaknesses perfectly.

Then a funny thing happened.  We adjusted.  Not used to us doing that on D.  But we did, and the game turned around.  That's a good thing, right?

The thing that is not so good is that unless we learn to get pressure from our front four, other teams will be able to replicate this pattern of short, effective, high-percentage passes to march down the field.  I know, White is going to be an NFL receiver, and WMU's QB was a deadly-accurate senior of the type that we make look like Peyton Manning, but if WMU was able to do this, then many of the better teams on our schedule will, as well.

I am still holding out hope that Mattison will be able to work with our D players and scheme to minimize this weakness.

4.  So, the defense after the adjustment was pretty cool, right?

Yes, it was.  I loved the fact that Mattison essentially went blitz crazy as an adjustment.  I also loved that the guys seemed to hit harder, swarm to the ball better and generally but themselves in a position to make good things happen.  Coverage is still dodgy, but the hitting, energy and overall feel of the defense (after the first drive) was much better.  I like our potential.

5.  T-Wolf on Special Teams

I know, unpopular on this blog.  I like it.  As Hoke said, special teams are a third of the game.  And kick return is apparently a big weakness for us that gifted WMU 20+ free yards of field position on every posession.  We need our best guys out there to help that unit.  Also, while I love T-Wolf and think that he brings an emotional, experienced, senior presence to our secondary, we were no better with him in there than we were when he went down.  I am totally ok with risking leaving him out there on special teams.

6.  Special teams

Yuck.  Kick return coverage absolutely needs to improve.  Protection on field goals (see our blocked extra point) absolutely must improve.  Decision making in our return game must improve.  And, it would be nice to see our guys return kicks past the 25. 

7.  ND - not so good?

I don't get ND.  They are stacked with 4-5 star talent on both sides of the ball.  By all accounts, Kelly is a good coach.  How did they look so crappy?  Regardless, this game scares the hell out of me.  If we couldn't stop WMU's White, how do we stop Floyd?  And if we couldn't get through a MAC o-line featurning JUCO transfers in two spots, how will get pressure ND's QB when he is protected by a fairly elite line?  These things scare me.

Sorry for the length of the post - I would be curious to get everyone's take on these and any other WMU game observations.

Syyk

September 6th, 2011 at 11:33 AM ^

First off, special teams aren't a third of a game.  They may be one of three phases of the game, but shouldn't we calculate it based on time spent in each of the phases?

As for us being no better off with Woolfolk in the game, I disagree.  The entire defense was playing poorly at the beginning of the game (the only time Woolfolk was in), but picked up their level of play as the game wore on.  I'll defer to the UFR, but I have to think we're better off with the player the coaches decided was the starter.

Elmer

September 6th, 2011 at 2:42 PM ^

Nobody is arguing that ST are unimportant, just that they are not equally as important as offense or defense. San Diego is one specific case. I bet there are lots of cases where a team has strong special teams and sucks. We should ask Jason Hanson, maybe he might know.

sarto1g

September 6th, 2011 at 12:11 PM ^

The thing about special teams is that they often go unnoticed until mistakes are made.  I think a better question would be which would you choose to be terrible if the other two units were average.  No one's going to win a championship because of their special teams, but they certainly can lose one because of it.  

 Even a pretty good defense can look bad if their opponent starts every drive on their own 40 instead of the 20 and even a pretty good offense (e.g. ours from last year) can come up empty if their kicking unit can't make a routine FG.  Special teams aren't world-beaters by any means, but their value is often understated.  

Again, look at the Chargers last year.  #1 offense and defense, but missed the playoffs because of terrible special teams

cjffemt

September 6th, 2011 at 1:56 PM ^

I disagree with your statement, "No one will win a Championship because of their ST's."  If you referring to the second paragraph you wrote, you explain how one can win a Championship with great ST's.  If we have a FG kicker who is nearly perfect,  a return game which can give you great field position time and time again, and a coverage team which can pin teams deep in their territory, how does that not translate to more victories and a potential Championship?  I do agree with the fact that St's are not as nearly important as the O or D, but I strongly believe you have to be solid in all facets of the game.

michgoblue

September 6th, 2011 at 11:43 AM ^

I wasn't saying that ST are a third of the game from a time perspective, but in terms of importance, they certainly can be. 

During an offensive series, you can either score, go three and out or advance the ball down the field to give your D better field position.  On a special teams play (where we receive the ball), the same three things can happen.  We can score by taking one to the house.  We can advance the ball down the field on a good return.  Or, we can get very little return (the equivalent of 3 and out). 

Similarly, when we kick, we can either stop a return giving our D nice field position to work with (akin to a defensive 3 and out), we can allow a return for a TD (akin to our D giving up a score), or we can allow a longish return, giving our D tough field position.

While I would agree that the ST is only on for one play at a time, as much can happen in that play as a whole offensive or defensive series, so I still think that ST is as important as O or D.

On the T-Wolf point, I am not trying to criticize him, but I just don't know if he is considerably better than the other CBs that it would make sense to protect him from ST duties when Hoke obviously thinks that his speed makes him a ST asset.

Red is Blue

September 6th, 2011 at 12:02 PM ^

while I love T-Wolf and think that he brings an emotional, experienced, senior presence to our secondary, we were no better with him in there than we were when he went down

Even if it is true that they were no better (which is correctly questioned), I am still concerned about experienced depth at corner. It seems highly unlikely that the next guy off the bench (the 4th corner) could maintain the level of play..   

Bb011

September 6th, 2011 at 12:32 PM ^

Well if you calculated it by yards it would be a lot closer to a third than using the timing method, which IMO would be more accurate. But also neither of those show how important it is. If you have a terrible Special teams then your giving up a TON of yardage that you could use.

neoavatara

September 6th, 2011 at 11:36 AM ^

The way to stop ND is to get pressure on the QB.  Carder didn't have any pressure early in the game...and the reason Mattison had to change things up.

Our front 4 better get some pressure, any pressure, otherwise Rees and Floyd will tear us up.  We have to find a way to get Mike Martin involved...he seemed a nonentity in game one.

Our LB corps has improved, so  hopefully we can keep their ground game under control  NO BIG PLAYS.

But the game is going to be won or lost in the trenches. 

PurpleStuff

September 6th, 2011 at 11:55 AM ^

That quick passing spread attack makes it tough for linemen to make a big impact (not a lot of time to get to the quarterback).  Brandon Graham only had one assisted tackle against them in 2009 (same as Martin).  He also didn't get a sack until the 5th game because teams like ND and Indiana were able to get the ball out of the QB's hand quickly as well.

He ended up having an okay year (10.5 sacks, 26 TFL).

cjffemt

September 6th, 2011 at 2:07 PM ^

I agree this game the front four need to improve and get more pressure.  I think as long as they get pressure and don't give Rees or Chryst have time to throw the ball we will be fine defensively.  Offensively I would like to think a solid run game (from the RB corp,) That should open up the pass game and running attack for Denard.  Now as for the ST's, I believe this game is going to come down to a miss field goal, a field goal made, or a major blunder on a KO or PR.  as we have talked about above, we have to be solid to win these big games.

Logan

September 6th, 2011 at 11:48 AM ^

Just to expand on #4. Our db's need to be taught (this week!) to turn their heads and actually look for the ball. Some of those deep throws were borderline interference if for no other reason than they didn't even bother to do this.

bluebyyou

September 6th, 2011 at 11:57 AM ^

I will reserve judgment on ND until after this weekend.  They reminded me of us last year when they ran up a ton of yards on O only to make a costly mistake.  They also kept UCF's O pretty much under wraps. This week will tell a ton about both teams.

The D will have to be better only because it couldn't get worse than last year, and they were impressive when Mattison started blitzing.  As the season progresses, with good coaching, I expect them to continually improve.  I also think we are at least three years away from having the type of D that Hoke wants.  The personnel, with few exceptions, just isn't there and won't start arriving until next year.

As for our O, I am hoping you are right.  I think part of Denard's production dropping off last year against better B1G competition was due to scheme changes that helped contain him.  Having a good running game in addition to Denard being better with his passing and his reads will help as will reducing the turnovers. Borges various offensive options should also make it difficult for teams to defend us.  It is obvious that if it hits the fan, we can always use Denard exactly as we did last year....let's just hope it isn't necessary.

PurpleStuff

September 6th, 2011 at 12:15 PM ^

WMU had about 5 decent gains on that first drive (compared with loads of positive plays from the defense).  Two of them came because guys were running from one side of the field to the other as the ball was snapped trying to cover a guy (Johnson near the goalline and Herron earlier in the drive).  The running play pictured on the front page now was another.  You could probably also include Jake Ryan trying to stop a WR screen by himself as an alignment issue.

So basically they had one nice play when our guys weren't running around like proverbial chickens with their craniums removed.  That got fixed and we were able to make them earn it the rest of the way (no wide open receivers and few if any missed tackles), something WMU was unable to do. 

michgoblue

September 6th, 2011 at 12:29 PM ^

I am not criticizing T-Wolf at all.  But, can you tell me what you saw that made him that much better than Floyd / Avery.  I thought Floyd looked pretty good. 

Again, not saying that he isn't our best DB - he is by far the fastest, and that is a huge asset.  Just curious what you are basing that on.  Also, his speed makes him an awesome asset as the last line of defense on kick returns.  If a returner gets through the first line of gunners, and T-Wolf saves a touchdown that a slower guy would have allowed, I would argue that this one play - worth 7 points - is worth the risk of injury (which is minimal because he is not a gunner, he is the back man).

Magnus

September 6th, 2011 at 1:55 PM ^

Floyd is not good at all.  He has no ability to change directions whatsoever, and that was true even before he hurt his ankle.  He's also pretty slow for a cornerback.  It's just a matter of time before he gets passed up by Avery, Countess, and perhaps others.

ijohnb

September 6th, 2011 at 12:30 PM ^

should not be playing on special teams, I was a big fan of a lot of things on Saturday but that was not one of them.

Two primary concers:

1.  Pressure on QB with front four.

2.  Deep passing game.

Both will be needed this week.

Mr Miggle

September 6th, 2011 at 12:39 PM ^

3. That type of quick, short passing attack is what teams will employ if we do consistently get pressure on the QB. Of course it's easier to defend if you get pressure without blitzing, but I'm more worried about facing a strong vertical attack.

6. What were those bad decisions in the return game? I didn't see Gallon make any on PR. Grady gave up a few yards of field position running a kick out of the endzone. That was clearly correct given the circumstances. There was less than a minute in the half and we're taking a knee after a touchback anyway.

Magnus

September 6th, 2011 at 1:45 PM ^

Grady gave up a few yards of field position running a kick out of the endzone. That was clearly correct given the circumstances. There was less than a minute in the half and we're taking a knee after a touchback anyway. 

...except it wasn't clearly correct, because Brady Hoke said in his press conference that Grady made a poor decision.