Call your bookies
If you are trying to take your Wolverine betting to another level this season, then you have come to the right place. My expert handicapping* in this thread takes into account the match-ups, trends, and a variety of other factors before coming to a decision on how to wager your hard earned MgoCash. If I am wrong, I shall post a "please Negbang me" thread entitling my fellow MgoBlogers to nuke me into R_mahorn territory.
Wins:
1. Western Michigan
2. Notre Dame
3. Eastern Michigan
4. Indiana
5. Michigan State
6. Iowa
7. Delaware State
8. Purdue
Losses:
1. Penn State
2. Illinois
3. Wisconsin
4. Ohio State (Sorry, not quite there yet)
That puts us at 8-4 and in a bowl not named Little Caesars (I am already cleaning up on all the bets I made on bowls named "Motor City".
*A scotch induced delirium and blue Kool-Aid drip is at least partially responsible for said claim.
September 1st, 2009 at 11:54 PM ^
Likely Wins (5): WMU, EMU, IN, DEL ST, PUR
Likely Losses (2): PSU, OSU
Depends on Michigan (5*): ND, MSU, IA, ILL, WISC
* Michigan wins at least 3 of the 5.
September 1st, 2009 at 11:57 PM ^
ugh. i've already said if UM goes 7-5 or above i will throw a tailgate for all of mgoblog. 8-4 is crazyland with your host Threetsherridammit.
winning one out of three against iowa, msu and nd would be amazing. winning 3-for-3 would make me take my pants off and be arrested.
appreciate the optimism but 'authority fail.'
September 2nd, 2009 at 12:05 AM ^
(1) We beat ND last year like a rented mule (go look at the game stats). We just could not field a punt. I doubt that will be the case this year.
(2) Iowa has a very good defense, but no offense. Not only did they lose Shon Greene to the NFL, they just lost the tailback that was supposed to replace him to injury.
(3) MSU ... well, need I say more? Ok, actually, they are a decent team. But they lost Ringer and have nothing outstanding to speak of on offense. They remind me of Iowa. They are beatable.
We will win at least two out of these three. Book it.
September 2nd, 2009 at 12:06 AM ^
only 1 imhe
September 2nd, 2009 at 1:05 AM ^
beat like a rented mule? did you watch the game? rewatch it. nd didn't gain much yardage because they kept getting the damn ball with a short field. they put together drives. yes, two fumbles could have swapped the game but that's not games. that's ABSURD to act like we lost that game on a fg.
iowa according to most experts is going to flip a coin with illinois and msu for third/fourth in the big ten. the o-line returns and while they dont have greene, they can push SOMEBODY through their for 100 a game. they return their qb. it's ridiculous to think it's a given. to claim we get all three. really?
you want to book it? i'm totally game. wager?
September 2nd, 2009 at 1:33 AM ^
Not sure which game you are talking about. I was talking about the ND game. Go watch it and check out the stats. We had five fumbles (lost 3 of those) and two interceptions. We outplayed them in that game everywhere except the turnovers. And that was with LAST YEAR'S team.
September 2nd, 2009 at 1:22 AM ^
And I never said that Iowa was a given or that we would win all three. Did you read what I wrote or is it too much work?
September 2nd, 2009 at 1:24 AM ^
And I never said we lost any game on a field goal. Are you sure you were replying to my post?
September 2nd, 2009 at 2:33 AM ^
beating a team "like a rented mule" but losing only happens when you lose on a fluke or last minute play, i.e. a fg. we did not beat ND like a rented mule. they had short fields which lowered their yardage. they handled the ball while UM didn't. it's such an arrogant claim to make.
September 2nd, 2009 at 5:25 AM ^
That may be your definition, but it certainly is not mine. My definition of "beat them like a rented mule" is that we won all or even dominated all aspects of the game. Normally, that would mean we won up on the scoreboard by no small margin. In this case, and I pointed it out very clearly in my original post, we turned the ball over five times (yes, five times). I do not care how good your team is or how good you play, if you give the ball to the other team on turnovers five times you are not going to win very often. And we didn't.
September 2nd, 2009 at 12:06 AM ^
Can you give me the name of your bookie who doesn't take the spread into account?
September 2nd, 2009 at 12:24 AM ^
The MGoBookie, I believe.
That's not even a half bad idea for what to do with these points. Put your points where your mouth is on some of these games.
September 2nd, 2009 at 12:54 AM ^
Great idea too for use of points.
September 2nd, 2009 at 2:34 AM ^
we already came up with that a couple days ago when someone bet the MGoFarm on something stupid, i don't even remember but about 4 people replied YES PLZ
September 2nd, 2009 at 2:40 AM ^
I've already placed a bet with my local bookie for the game this weekend. I feel good about Michigan on Saturday.. very good. FWIW I'm also an optimist and I generally lose a lot of money every year with my betting problems.