2019-20 ohio state #2

Things discussed:

• Appreciation for the seniors: when X arrived Brian asked in slack why did we recruit this 5'11" guy who can't shoot. To come back from that to one of the most definitive point guards in Michigan basketball is quite something.
• Who's the next PG? Eli can run the plays; if Christopher comes he still needs to learn how a pick & roll works.
• Stauskas jump for Franz next year? He's gotten better over the course of the season. NBA flight risk? Been way more active as a defender.
• Wisconsin: Michigan struggles with fives who can shoot even without Brooks. Craig: in the first half the drop coverage was 1.4 PPP, it was 0.8 PPP versus switching.
• Ohio State: banks should be worth –3 points. Why was Livers playing heroball (8/11 shots forced)?
• Is Tom Izzo losing it? Will you miss the angry gnome when he's gone?
• Clone Foster Loyer and play 13 Foster Loyers.
• Maryland: Sticks is a problem, their shooters are bad or terrible so of course they'll go 5/7 against Michigan. Turgeoning is a verb.
• Hockey: take away any one of numerous bad bounce goals this year and they win the Big Ten. Have a chance to dig out of the hole and get into the playoffs this weekend. All hail Strauss Mann.

[Player after THE JUMP]

3/1/2020 – Michigan 63, Ohio State 77 – 18-11, 9-9 Big Ten

Perhaps no one in college basketball is more dedicated to the idea of giant humans playing center than Matt Painter. Before Dutch windmill Matt Haarms there was Isaac Haas. Haas looked like Ivan Drago scaled up by 30%. Both of these guys were paired with shorter, thicker dudes—Trevion Williams and Caleb Swanigan—who charge into the lane like the Kool-Aid Man and vacuum up rebounds so quickly they eject little bits of basketball at an appreciable fraction of c. Purdue strives to have the longest and widest centers in college basketball, at the same time.

Look at this guy.

"oops" – this guy

7'3"? Ranking implies that most of the time he gets the basketball he crushes it in his giant hands and then sheepishly hands it back to the ref? Guaranteed Purdue commit.

A few years ago, Matt Painter was introduced to Moe Wagner and about lost his mind. Wagner's ability to stretch the floor set Purdue's defensive approach on fire. Purdue started switching Haas—290 pound Isaac Haas—onto point guards. Switching everything has become a popular defensive approach these days, but usually the folks executing it are mobile, smallish centers like Xavier Tillman. Haas switched onto a point guard looked like a man dumped into a fish tank with a piranha.

After these games Painter would sit down with the media and carefully explain how Moe Wagner is Purdue kryptonite. Even though they won some of these games, the overall impression the Painter-vs-Moe era left was Painter running his hands through his hair, rocking back and forth, moaning "not again, you said never again."

Been thinking about that lately.

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Michigan's February run came to a screeching halt over the last two games because Michigan ran into stretch bigs. Wisconsin's Micah Potter and OSU's Kaleb Wesson are shooting 47% and 43% from three, respectively. They combined to go 7/11 against Michigan.

The effects of those threes extended beyond the shots themselves. Against Wisconsin this was a parade to the bucket from Wisconsin's rim-averse guards; against OSU it was Duane Washington shooting over guys who were playing off him because they knew what happened against Wisconsin. Michigan switched a bunch.

It was awkward. Teske got in foul trouble and Michigan put Austin Davis on the court. Davis, who bodied up Williams effectively just a couple of games ago, was ruthlessly exposed by both teams. Wisconsin shot 75% from two when Davis was on the floor.

Michigan's recent defensive run came against teams with no stretch from their fives. They shot down Cassius Winston by ignoring Xavier Tillman at the three point line, which they could do because he's a 27% shooter out there. Nobody else has a guy who shoots an appreciable number of threes.

So here we are, at another nadir during this season of wild reverses. The Torvik slicers have gone home to stew; dreams of Cleveland have been replaced by a hope that Michigan stays off the 8/9 line. A reminder that this is a team of spare parts stepping up, until such time as they're ruthless elites once again.

I don't know what this season is going to end up as; I do know that I don't want to see another five-out offense this year.

[After the JUMP: this graph is good if you want to ski down it but not if you want to win games]

1 hour and 25 minutes

The Sponsors

We can do this because people support us. You should support them! The show is presented by UGP & The Bo Store, and if it wasn’t for Rishi and Ryan we’d be writing for The Athletic if we're lucky.

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1. Hoops vs Ohio State

starts at 1:00

Ohio State gets two bank threes: can you remember Michigan's last (competitive) bank shot? Understand now how Purdue felt when they had to take Isaac Haas and Caleb Swanigan off the court. Michigan's trying all kinds of switches. Livers had a terrible week. Castleton hesitated on his corner three attempt. Very matchup-dependent team. Livers discussion: not great in the lane, stay in your role.

[The rest of the writeup and the player after The Jump]