2018-19 nebraska

1 hour and 35 minutes

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1. Maryland

(starts at 1:00)

Brian tries to make a long point about Wilco, or Zavier Simpson’s best games—it’s hard to tell. We rate hook shots. Life without Matthews. Completely necessary rant about when Michigan went –8 by taking X off the court for his third foul (which was a dumb foul). Try not to talk too much Castleton because Nebraska segment is next but Castleton man. DDJ though. David brings up J.T. Barrett. Also Iggy got Michigan halfway to the bonus in like three minutes. Fernando and Teske probably never want to play each other again. Red Panda.

2. Nebraska

(starts at 33:33)

My girl’s the baddest though so I keep winning. Nebraska showed up and gave up, which played right in Dan Dakich’s take wheelhouse. When a defensive team hits 50 percent from three it’s over. Can’t switch with Tanner Borschardt. Poole had five assists and we were all okay with his turnover. Jon Teske > Mo last year. Get more creation out of him?

3. Around the Big Ten

(starts at 54:14)

Northwestern is an excellent worst conference team but probably not good enough to knock off Purdue, meaning Michigan needs Minnesota to do it for them. Rutgers has is an insane basket away from being a team with a tournament resume (that still couldn’t get in). Penn State was the best team in the league in February. If only they’d won that Purdue game. NET is too Kenpommy. Don’t want to face Iowa and Wisconsin the Big Ten Tournament.

4. Across the Crooked Blue Line with Steve Lorenz of 247Sports

(starts at 1:15:53)

Steve guarantees that every Michigan target is indeed a real human being. Discuss the recent re-ratings of all the 2020 prospects, in which Michigan’s commits fell a little ways. Still high on Seldon and KD; some of the linebackers haven’t progressed and the new lineman probably won’t until senior tape rolls in. Is there a chance with the in-state five-stars? Will State get shut out of the top ten players in Michigan?

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MUSIC
  • "I Am Trying to Break Your Heart"—Wilco
  • "You Are the Pan"—John Williams (from ‘Hook’)
  • "Why Does the Sun Shine? (The Sun is a Mas of Incandescent Gas"—They Might Be Giants
  • “Across 110th Street”
THE USUAL LINKS

It doesn’t matter; you’re in last place in Red Panda PAC’s Wilco Pantheon

unironic deployment of Michigan Man is authorized [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

2/28/2019 – Michigan 82, Nebraska 53 – 25-4, 14-4

Even this year, Charles Matthews gets referred to as The Kentucky Transfer from time to time. This is a little off-putting since there are few players that have embodied the Beilein era better than Matthews, personality-wise. On the court, Matthews has a smile that doubles as trash talk.

Off the court, he could say "we had subs, it was crazy" and you wouldn't blink twice. After he hit an improbable game-winner against Minnesota his post-game interview was almost apologetic—yeah the ball fell to me and I got a shot off but it could have been any one of my teammates and I'll take turkey on Italian please. He asked after Ace this  year.

That dichotomy has come to define Michigan basketball, so when you call him the Kentucky transfer that places him outside a program he is in the dead center of.

But it still does make some sense. The Kentucky Transfer does immediately communicate several things about Matthews. He can jump, and long after you, a practiced observer of people jumping, expect that he will start to descend he continues going up. That's the Kentucky part. The transfer part is that his offensive game is a rickety thing. He hovers around 30% from three; he's worked hard to get his FT percentage north of 60; he still does a few things in every game that make you clap in frustration.

Also Kentucky is a program built around having various dinosaur-sized people lock you down defensively until the point in the season where all the freshmen turn into something resembling a team. Matthews entering the program at the same instant Beilein hired a defensive coordinator, and his first game also being Luke Yaklich's first game, are serendipitous events. The program was ready for him.

So the individual transferred to the whole. Michigan, the program, has been The Kentucky Transfer for the last two years. Sometimes it feels like someone entirely different wearing the program as a second skin, but the results are undeniable: a Big Ten Tourney title, a three seed, an appearance in the final, a pending two seed and the possibilities that unfold from there.

There's no better emblem of this mini-era than the kind of guy Michigan never gets coming over as somewhat damaged goods and making it work anyway. Matthews leaves the program better than he found it.

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bench functionality projects to be improved [Campredon]

A preview of next year. DDJ and Castleton got a fair amount of run in a game without Charles Matthews in which Livers started and played 33 minutes. With Poole and Iggy currently tracking towards returns, about which more later, the minutes distribution in this game is probably pretty close to what we'll see next year except for the absence of a backup on the wing. Presumably one of Johns/Nunez/Wilson/Bajema will be able to emerge into a 10-15 minute player.

You may have noticed that things went pretty well. Livers was up to the task of checking James Palmer, who finished 3/15 from the floor and was one of the Nebraska starters to get yanked for the first eight minutes of the second half. That's not far off Palmer's usual level of performance this year—he entered the game shooting 34% from two in league play—and should probably not be taken as a sign that Livers is going to be able to match Matthews stop-for-stop on the defensive end.

But he's not bad there, and he was able to collect 12 points on 20% usage here. Ideally Livers is able to add a few more points of usage next year to keep an undue burden from falling on folks around him.

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not pictured: the chastened version [Campredon]

A chastened Poole. Jordan Poole's halftime shooting stats: 0/0. He put up four in the second half, but the numbers that pop off the box score: 5 assists, one turnover. Most of those assists were dumping it down against post mismatches after switches, huzzah. So was the turnover, which is fine. At no point did he take a stepback three against a big.

Poole drew Thomas Allen as his primary defensive matchup and held a pretty decent player to 1/5 from the floor. This was a reserved, in control version of Poole. But even then some of the swag pops out:

Poole just needs to tamp down the wild swings. He's got it in there.

[After THE JUMP: Castletons of fun]

[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #7 Michigan (24-4) vs
#42 Nebraska (15-13)
WHERE Crisler Arena
Ann Arbor, MI
WHEN 7 PM Thursday
LINE Michigan -11
TV ESPN

THE US

Welp. Life continues!

THE LINEUP CARD

image (32)

Click for big.

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 5 Glynn Watson Sr. 6'0, 180 90 20 106 Meh
Shooting has bounced back from awful (38/29) junior year. Now at 45/37; not really a PG (17 assist rate) but doing fairly well for a guy who gets no help. Think Geo Baker.
G 12 Thomas Allen So. 6'1, 184 84 15 109 Meh
Slippery MAAR-ish guard gets to the rack a fair bit with no help and shoots 51/36 with low TO rate.
F 0 James Palmer Sr. 6'6, 207 88 31 104 Yes
Bar-none most disappointing player in the league. Shot 55% from two in league play last year. This year: 34%. Usage still huge!
F 15 Isaiah Roby Jr. 6'8 230 86 22 101 Meh
Excellent switch-everything defensive 5 has had major offensive regression; 50/32 this year after 62/41 last year. Increased usage a part of that.
C 20 Tanner Borchardt Sr. 6'8, 245 72 10 128 Yes
Generic Backup C who has to play 30 MPG; OREBs and does nothing else.
F 1 Amir Harris Fr. 6'6 205 19 10 97 Yes
Composite #355 FR is 14/19 from two on the year. No outside shots. 30 TO rate.
F 34 THORIR THORBJARNSON!!! So. 6'6, 206 13 17 86 Yes
***overhead clapping intensifies*** (25 shots on year, 27 TO rate)
F 25 Nana Akenten So. 6'6, 218 9 18 99 Meh
Just A Shooter hitting 31%.
C 45 Brady Heiman Fr. 6'11, 215 15 14 107 Yes
Composite #350 FR is 6/6 against Minnesota and has four other shots against the rest of the league.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]