Softball - Big Ten Tournament Semifinals and Wisconsin

Submitted by Solecismic on May 10th, 2024 at 1:33 AM

The Jeopardy contestant, carefully attuned to the latest in Big Ten Softball, cautiously answers, "Who is Tessa Magnanimo?"

Yes, they always answer in the form of a question, but it's kind of irritating when they answer as if asking a question. They'd be forgiven today. Tessa Magnanimo is the wisp of a pitcher, standing just 5-4 and looking as if she'd blow away in a good storm, who has led 11-seed Wisconsin to an improbable berth in today's conference tournament semifinal against Michigan.

She has tossed two complete games, beating sixth-seeded Ohio State, 5-1, on Friday and third-seeded Rutgers, 7-3, on Saturday. On the season, the Los Angeles-based graduate student is 11-15 with a 3.42 ERA and an unimposing 104 strikeouts in 167 2/3 innings. This is her first season as a full-time starter.

Can she continue to confound opponents? Will she even play, as two complete games constitutes almost a full five percent of her collegiate production to date and she was limping late in last night's game? The Wisconsin pitching staff was, overall, 13th in the Big Ten with a collective 4.46 ERA going into the tournament, and 230th in Division I.

The Wisconsin offense ranks 11th in the Big Ten with 4.61 runs per game and the Badgers' RPI is 107th. Players to watch on offense include freshman first-team All-League first baseman/designated player Hilary Blomberg (.954 OPS, 2 of her 6 home runs this season in this tournament), second-teamer Ava Kuszak, a sophomore shortstop (.997, 9 home runs), along with junior catcher Emmy Wells (.873, team-high 14 home runs), and senior third baseman Skylar Sirdashney (.886, 3), who hails from Texas, not Camelot.

Michigan, surprisingly, is now the favorite to win the conference tournament. Upsets have been the norm this week and the remaining teams are seeded 2, 4, 8 and 11. The Wolverines defeated Maryland, 10-0, yesterday, in five innings.

If you had tuned in before the bottom of the fifth inning, you would have thought the two teams were trying to set the record for fastest 20-inning game. Neither had scored. Maryland pitcher Courtney Wyche, who had thrown nine innings the night before in an upset victory over Penn State, dominated early, striking out seven Michigan hitters. She had allowed just two infield hits at that point. Lauren Derkowksi was just as effective, however, and allowed only two hits, with three walks, three strikeouts and a hit batter through five innings.

Wyche, the Big Ten leader in strikeouts, ran out of gas in the fifth inning. Ella McVey led off with a single up the middle - just the second Wolverine batted ball to reach the outfield in the game. Ellie Sieler, the leadoff hitter, bunted her over to second base. Then the proverbial wheels fell off. Indiana Langford walked on four pitches. Maddie Erickson hit a come-backer to Wyche, who was unable to field the ball cleanly, loading the bases with one out.

At this point, patience paid off for the Michigan hitters. They had tried to work counts early against Wyche, but didn't get her pitch count up all that much - she was firing a lot of strikes. But that changed. Keke Tholl worked the count full, fouled off a pitch, then took ball four. 1-0. Ella Stephenson did the same. 2-0. Jenissa Conway worked the count full as well and walked. 3-0. All of a sudden, Wyche was at 32 pitches in the fifth inning alone, and that ended her evening. Freshman reliever Julia Shearer was unable to stop the rally. Lilly Vallimont greeted her with a looping single to left field. 4-0. Ava Costales worked the count full, fouled off a pitch, then Shearer hit her with a pitch. 5-0. McVey flied out, deep enough to score a run. 6-0. Shearer hit Sieler with the next pitch to reload the bases.

Michigan sophomore Avery Fantucci pinch hit for Langford, the 12th batter of the inning. Fantucci blasted a 1-1 pitch off the scoreboard in center field, apparently damaging the supports for the board (hopefully it won't fall down today). A 10-0 walk-off victory. In the inning, 12 different Michigan players either scored a run or drove in a run.

Michigan did not play Wisconsin during the regular season. It's hard to say who will start today for the Wolverines. Derkowski only threw 64 pitches last night, and there's no point saving her for Saturday if they don't get to play Saturday. Freshman Erin Hoehn is available, but has struggled lately. Grad student Hannah George has been very effective in relief lately, but has not started any games in her two seasons at Michigan. I would expect Derkowski to start, but leave early if Michigan can take a lead since she can re-enter later if needed.

The other semi-final features eight-seeded Indiana and fourth-seeded Nebraska.

Indiana shocked top seed Northwestern yesterday, 4-3. The Wildcats did not start conference Pitcher of the Year Ashley Miller, who has struggled a bit in her last few starts, but was still 12th in Division I with a 1.34 ERA. Instead, conference Coach of the Year Kate Drohan got a bit fancy and went with freshman Riley Grudzielanek, who had not pitched since suffering an injury against Michigan last month.

The Wildcats held a 1-0 lead until the fourth, when freshman third baseman Alex Cooper welcomed Grudzielanek to her nightmare with a long solo home run. After another extra-base hit, Drohan went to Miller, who shut down the threat. Miller struggled in the fifth, however, walking in a pair of runs to give Indiana a 3-1 lead. After a long rain delay, Indiana pitcher Brianna Copeland was able to stay ahead of Northwestern and complete the upset victory.

Nebraska blasted Minnesota, 11-2, in five innings. Leadoff hitter Billie Andrews, their senior shortstop, hit a pair of home runs and freshman designated player Emmerson Cope added another as the Cornhuskers battered everyone on the Gopher pitching staff pretty much equally. Senior Sarah Harness kept the powerful Minnesota offense under control.

Semi-Final Matchups (overall record, RPI rank, Division I rank in runs per game, Division I rank in ERA):

4 pm: (8) Indiana (40-17), 45th in RPI, 17th (offense), 90th (pitching) versus (4) Nebraska (30-22), 47th in RPI, 41st (offense), 216th (pitching).

6:30 pm: (11) Wisconsin (21-30), 107th in RPI, 111th (offense), 230th (pitching) versus (2) Michigan (39-16), 37th in RPI, 55th (offense), 50th (pitching).

Clarence Boddicker

May 10th, 2024 at 2:53 AM ^

Magnanimo seemed to be doing it with smoke and mirrors out there. She doesn't have overpowering stuff and seemed to have runners on every inning but always managed to wriggle out of trouble. I'm thinking she can't go three straight days though, can she? I like our chances against them.

Solecismic

May 10th, 2024 at 2:13 PM ^

I had remembered yesterday to adjust central time to eastern time. Forgot today, sorry. Games are at 5:00 pm eastern and 7:30 pm.

I think this might be must-win for Michigan and the NCAAs. Two straight opponents with sub-100 RPIs does considerable damage to strength of schedule, which is 50% of the RPI calculation in softball. I have tried to examine changes in RPI, day-to-day, and there isn't a lot of data. Plus the pages that claim to track it show differing calculations.

When I report RPI, I use the chart the NCAA displays on its site. This was updated today, and shows Michigan is still 37th. It also shows Ohio State dropped seven spots after losing its opening-round game to Wisconsin.

Since RPI is a combination of three different concepts (team record, opponents' records and opponents' opponents' records), without a database of softball results, I can't do anything more than guess. Even the sites that track it themselves and apparently do have a database make mistakes (D1 Softball, for example, shows that Rutgers beat Wisconsin last night - poor Tessa's heroics went for naught).

All this is something to think about when we look at spring schedules. Since the Big Ten is last by a wide amount among power conferences in softball, you have to build strength of schedule in the spring. Which means playing the good tournaments, something Michigan did a little less of this year, which is why a 39-16 record isn't top 25 material.

Obviously, this is a very winnable game, but I'm adjusting my expectations of pitcher usage from my preview assessment. I think Derkowski pitches until she either is clearly tired or the Wolverines can build a huge lead. No word on Wisconsin and Magnanimo. But she is already at 260 pitches for the tournament, and while that was not all that unusual in the days before the mound was moved back, it is now. On the other hand, this could be her last game in competitive softball, so why not?

907_UM Nanook

May 10th, 2024 at 2:18 PM ^

I watched the Maryland game yesterday & Wyche was the better pitcher, and was flat dominating with her off-speed pitch, more than her heat. To see her hit the wall was amazing, I've never seen that in a softball pitcher. What an amaizing hitting performance off the Maryland reliever, and Fantucci with the blast. Lots to feel good about heading up against the lesser of the two pint-sized furry mammals!

Solecismic

May 10th, 2024 at 7:21 PM ^

Nebraska and Indiana are headed into extra-innings (3-3 - hope you didn't bet the over, thought for sure this was going to be a slug-fest). So, expect a later start for Michigan - a half hour after the conclusion.

There's a little bit of weather out there. If anything, there's a small chance of a short lightning delay (about 20%, according to the NWS), not enough to have people waiting a long time or messing with field conditions.

Solecismic

May 10th, 2024 at 8:04 PM ^

Gabi Salo, a senior from Escanaba, will probably start for Wisconsin on the mound. She was Miss Softball for Michigan in 2020. Her stats on the year: 5-4, 3.42, 59 1/3 innings (only 14 1/3 in the Big Ten season), 55 strikeouts. She has not pitched well lately. Hopefully, Michigan can take advantage.  Derkowski will start for Michigan.

ckersh74

May 10th, 2024 at 8:36 PM ^

Bingo!

Erickson ties it, 3 batters into our side of the inning.

2-2, bottom 1. Scary part is, I don’t think she got all of that. 

ckersh74

May 10th, 2024 at 10:45 PM ^

Two runs in, and the tying runs are on base.

6-4 M, 2 outs in the 7th. This is getting........

EDIT: Never mind. Derk induces a pop-up on the next pitch and we're all done here.

6-4 Michigan victory. 

Solecismic

May 10th, 2024 at 10:45 PM ^

154 pitches. Tied a career high with 7 walks. Poor Derk... nothing left out there, but she got it done.

Tomorrow will be tough. They can't possibly expect her to go far against the best hitting team in the Big Ten.