Updated FEI: Michigan Up to 16
FEI updated after week 2 can be found here: www.bcftoys.com/2016-fei/
Michigan is up to 16 in the FEI ratings. Preseason I believe had UM at 22. FEI doesn't like Michigan as much as S&P+ (either this year or last year). As to why, people more familiar with the two systems can debate. FEI is drive based, and I believe S&P+ is play based and they have different measures they look at. Anyway, UM finished 14 in FEI last year. Current week 2 projections have 71% from preseason projections and 29% from the 1st two weeks.
The most interesting thing I see is that UM is #1 in unadjusted efficency in the nation. For those who don't know, FEI throws out garbage time and then adjusts based on schedule. That #1 basically backs up what we've seen. UM has had a non-scoring drive their 1st drive in both games, then scored TDs on every other one into garbage time. Also no one has scored during non-garbage time on UM.
Hawaii is now dead last in FEI, while UCF is up to 81 (from 88 preseason) and upcoming Colorado is 85 (87 preseason).
September 12th, 2016 at 8:38 AM ^
We were out hit on Saturday.
September 12th, 2016 at 8:57 AM ^
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September 12th, 2016 at 9:02 AM ^
spit my morning water right out. Scott Frost is definitely from the Brady Hoke school of football.
September 12th, 2016 at 10:17 AM ^
September 12th, 2016 at 9:08 AM ^
September 12th, 2016 at 9:21 AM ^
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September 12th, 2016 at 9:21 AM ^
September 12th, 2016 at 8:45 AM ^
more pretend stats!!! Like WAR and BABIP
September 12th, 2016 at 9:04 AM ^
Is that you?!?!?
September 12th, 2016 at 9:08 AM ^
There is absolutely nothing pretend about BABIP. Also, your signature is inaccurate. "A lesser athlete would have gone down" is the money quote from Harbaugh's introductory presser that I think you were going for.
September 12th, 2016 at 9:22 AM ^
September 12th, 2016 at 8:48 AM ^
September 12th, 2016 at 9:01 AM ^
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September 12th, 2016 at 9:37 AM ^
FEI and S&P+ both use preseason projection data for the first 6 weeks to adjust for the small sample set of data during the beginning of the season. I think FEI's preseason projection data uses program ratings (weighted 5-year average FEI) in their model. This is why Michigan is so low right now as Michigan's program rating is pretty low (around #19). Michigan will make leaps in the FEI ratings every week if they keep playing at this level as the preseason data is phased out.
September 12th, 2016 at 9:38 AM ^
This non-conference schedule is absolute shit.
September 12th, 2016 at 9:46 AM ^
They have Clemson #3, LSU #4, Oklahoma #6, Mississippi #8 ??? They also show MSU at #18 with a record of 0 - 0. More disrespekt !!!
Go Blue!
September 12th, 2016 at 11:03 AM ^
September 12th, 2016 at 1:25 PM ^
they don't include garbage time? So nothing after the first quarter I guess?
September 13th, 2016 at 7:43 AM ^
Spread is...
>28 in the first quarter
>24 in the second
>21 in the third
>16 in the fourth
So in the Hawaii game they include everything through the 2nd quarter pick-six, and for CF it's through the second Michigan field goal, except that it doesn't include the long Killins run because for that one drive the spread was 31.
That's about three quarters of football, and it conveniently leaves out the single worst play of the lot.
September 12th, 2016 at 1:39 PM ^
UCF would have been ahead on points on Scotty's card. The other two judges would have had M ahead
September 12th, 2016 at 4:21 PM ^
I guess Colorado's ranking reflects the quality of their opposition so far, as they've been near flawless offensively in the first half both weeks.
September 13th, 2016 at 7:42 AM ^
It also reflects the quality of their program the last five years.
They're #5 in raw efficiency so far, but that's one game against a bad team (Idaho State's not included at all).
September 12th, 2016 at 5:45 PM ^
Well, they suck and screw their system!