Preferred Method for Filling out Your Bracket
More than half the fun for me during March Madness is filling out brackets and competing with friends. With the plethora of advanced statistics metrics and "expert" opinions, curious what everyone has found to be most effective means to complete their bracket...Kenpom? Bracket Matrix? Another website not mentioned?
Personally, I like to use a combo of Kenpom and Bracket Matrix along with proverbial "gut feel".
But I always have at least a 5 over a 12, don't put any 13+ seeds past the Sweet 16, and use KenPom as a tiebreak
Interestingly, I read this year that conference champs (esp for small schools) are more reliable to go deep than tournament champs
Freshly sharpened.
with total disregard to the seedings, records, etc. of course the wolverines win it all every year but the rest are up for discussion.
I always do a mascot bracket, too!
Let's see, Badger vs. Hokie is easy. Spartan vs. a Hurricane, still pretty easy. But then what about Bearcast vs. Wildcat? Bearcat sounds bigger but maybe it'd just be chilled out and a wildcat would fuck it up on sheer willpower. Tiger vs. Fighting Irish? Tigers are fierce but Fighting Irish are too drunk to feel pain, and they're pretty scrappy, possibly armed, and multiple. Still probably give the edge to the Tiger there.
Etc.
One of my favorite annual traditions.
a couple 4/13 and 5/12 upsets because they're fun.
After that, I browse Pomeroy for upsets that look pretty fun. My darling this year is Saint Mary's
I don't play unless extra points are assigned for picking upsets along the way. Otherwise it's boring. A bunch of saber nerds wasting hours researching and picking conservative chalk and getting rewarded for it.
Exactly, the bracket I've ran for 10 years now on CBS uses multiply seed by round....round 1 is multiplied by 1, round 2 by 2, round 3 by 4, etc. I think the championship is x64, so it really rewards you for upsets and lower seeds. I think that makes it way more fun that straight up
The guy who fills out 5 brackets, wins 1, and talks about how good he was at picking the best.
March 12th, 2017 at 10:32 PM ^
March 13th, 2017 at 12:04 PM ^
I hear he's got about 3-9 good methods for picking teams
March 12th, 2017 at 10:34 PM ^
out of the field of 68
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/18883919/complet…
March 13th, 2017 at 10:32 AM ^
as long as he picks Miami #38 or higher.
Gut check mostly. It's worked well for me.
Ask random hot chicks (i.e. Mabel) to come back to my place to pick teams based on their favorite colors and mascots. Usually beats the dudes who spend 45 of the next 50 hrs on analyzing every player based on their history from the 7th grade...
The school whose city has the highest number of citizens-that-look-like-their-dogs, aka - Bowsers.
March 13th, 2017 at 10:34 AM ^
I can't see buying a book to win an office pool.
This year I'm in a competition where the bottom 2 finishers have to purchase beer for the top 2 finishers, so I might just chalk it up. Predicting wrong upsets is what always dooms my bracket (like picking Villanova to lose in the round of 32 last year).
Look for Michigan and if they are in the tournament I put the good guys in the sweet 16. Then I look for Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State and Notre Dame and if any of them are in the tournament I have them losing in the 1st round. I then have Duke and Kentucky losing at the first possible realistic chance. I do the rest of my bracket based on gut. Been doing it the past 20 years or so... mixed results but I always feel good about it.
March 12th, 2017 at 11:38 PM ^
First rounds I rely heavily on what the Vegas sharps are thinking . The rounds after that , I guess I just mix the personal eye test and read some articles from "experts" I trust and see what they're thinking
March 13th, 2017 at 10:35 AM ^
Red teams, comrade?
I don't know whether it's what I've seen the last few days but I just put Michigan in the Final Four. Can this team go that deep?
March 12th, 2017 at 11:29 PM ^
March 13th, 2017 at 10:36 AM ^
NTTAWWT
March 13th, 2017 at 11:24 AM ^
After watching the tourney for 20+ years, it really wouldn't surprise me with some of the other teams (Cuse just last year) making Final 4 runs. That being said, UM was done no favors with Ok St. in the 1st round..nervous UM could get outgunned. I'm not high on KU, but Louisville will a very difficult out.
Mine is done. The hardest part was setting up the dart board. Somehow I hit UCLA for the champs.
First and foremost, full disclosure - I am that guy and usually find myself in multiple pools, which I know annoys some people but I like to tinker with bracket formulas and try them out in real-life betting scenarios.
I will usually use a mix of rankings on key stats versus a bit of admittedly unfounded intuition about certain teams, so not exactly scientific, but what I like to do is emphasize different stats and see what sort of results I get.
The dog correctly picked MTSU over MSU, ha!