chris holtmann

Hunter Dickinson is a cut above the rest of the B1G freshman class [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

The scores from last week (home team listed second):

  • Maryland 63, Michigan 87
  • Purdue 67, OSU 65
  • PSU 65, Illinois 79
  • Northwestern 52, Wisconsin 68
  • Indiana 81, Iowa 69
  • Rutgers 67, PSU 75
  • Michigan 70, Purdue 53
  • OSU 74, Wisconsin 62
  • Maryland 63, Minnesota 49
  • Northwestern 78, PSU 81
  • Rutgers 74, Indiana 70

Your big winner of this week was (sigh) Michigan, the only team to play two games and get through unscathed—and they did so with two blowouts, one over a surging Purdue squad. They'll hang onto first place in the conference through the department-wide pause because Iowa's shooters went cold while their defense gave up 1.18 points per possession to Indiana.

The Hoosiers, naturally, turned around and lost at home to Rutgers. Wisconsin, meanwhile, fell another game behind the Wolverines with a home loss to Ohio State. The Buckeyes were nipped at home earlier in the week by the same Purdue team that Michigan hammered a few days later. Maryland got similarly smashed by the Wolverines, then dominated Minnesota on the road.

If you're having a tough time making sense of this conference, you're not alone.

The Standings

I've added NET rankings and records versus quartile 1 and 2 opponents.

  Record   NET   KP/Torvik Avg   OFFENSE   DEFENSE
Team OVR B1G RK Q1 Q2 Nat Rk (chg) Proj. B1G
Rec.
KP BT KP BT
U-M 13-1 8-1 3rd 3-1 5-0 3.0 (up 2) 15.5-4 7th 7th 6th 8th
IOWA 12-3 6-2 5th 4-2 3-1 4.5 (down 1) 13-6 1st 1st 98th 119th
WIS 12-4 6-3 18th 2-2 6-2 9.0 (--) 12.5-7.5 24th 21st 7th 7th
ILL 10-5 6-3 7th 3-4 4-1 9.0 (up 4) 11.5-7.5 8th 10th 25th 27th
OSU 12-4 6-4 17th 4-4 3-0 13.0 (up 3.5) 11.5-8 5th 4th 60th 75th
PUR 11-6 6-4 29th 3-4 4-2 31.5 (down 4) 11.5-8 53rd 62nd 26th 26th
MIN 11-5 4-5 41st 4-4 0-1 30.5 (down 6.5) 9.5-10 43rd 51st 29th 30th
IND 9-7 4-5 37th 1-5 4-1 26.0 (up 6) 9-10.5 39th 49th 27th 24th
RUT 8-6 4-6 56th 3-5 1-1 40.0 (down 1.5) 9-11 55th 42nd 39th 46th
UMD 9-7 3-6 34th 3-6 0-1 45.5 (up 6) 8-11.5 30th 27th 68th 102nd
MSU 8-4 2-4 87th 0-4 2-0 48.0 (down 2) 6.5-12 46th 64th 50th 57th
NW 6-8 3-7 74th 2-7 0-1 63.5 (down 2) 7-13 69th 53rd 80th 76th
PSU 5-6 2-5 40th 1-5 3-1 40.5 (up 2) 7.5-11 29th 20th 76th 71st
NEB 4-8 0-5 163rd 0-4 0-2 108.5 (up 5) 3-14 135th 126th 121st 83rd

*Torvik includes projections for games that have been postponed, KenPom only includes those that have been rescheduled.

Movement in both the standings and in the advanced rankings is becoming less drastic from week to week as teams settle in and we get more data on them. There's less divergence between KenPom and Torvik in their team and unit rankings. We also had a couple programs on pause because of COVID, which added to the static nature of the week.

Midseason-ish Awards: The Usual Categories


a Bucket™ [Campredon]

With Michigan forced into a pause, this is as good an opportunity as I'll have to hand out some midseason Big Ten awards. While these take into account play over the full course of the season, I'm putting a heavy emphasis on performance in conference games, though given the shape of the schedule this year that was probably gonna happen regardless.

Today, I'll cover the usual award categories. Later this week, I'll have another post with some less traditional fare, like Most Glorious Disaster Factory and Extreme Just A Shooter™, as well as all-conference selections. This one is dominated by the team in first place.

PLAYER OF THE YEAR: LUKA GARZA

Garza is the engine of the league's top offense by some distance. He's averaging 25 points, nine boards, and two assists in Big Ten games. He's by far the leader in the KenPom Player of the Year standings and is expected to clean up the voter-determined national player of the year awards as well.

This isn't ignoring Garza's below-average defense at the most important defensive position on the court, either. His offense is so overwhelming that he's still the easy choice. He bears one of the biggest offensive loads in the country and is still one of its most efficient players.

Unlike a lot of centers, Garza's essentially never in foul trouble, and that's not at all the case for his counterpart—he draws 6.9 fouls per 40 minutes, often swinging games by forcing opponents to defend him with their backup bigs. By avoiding foul trouble himself, Garza is able to play over 80% of the team's minutes in conference games, and that even undersells his availability because of Iowa's frequent blowout wins. His presence also opens up the arc for his sharpshooting teammates, who are making 40% of their three-pointers. He's the toughest player to gameplan against in the country.

Other contenders: Trace Jackson-Davis, Ayo Dosunmu, Trevion Williams, Hunter Dickinson, Kofi Cockburn, but this really wasn't close

[Hit THE JUMP for a lot of Michigan, I swear I wasn't trying to be a homer. Also, new tiers and this week's schedule.]

the offense whisperer [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

The scores from last week (home team listed second):

  • Wisconsin 54, Michigan 77
  • Northwestern 71, OSU 81
  • Purdue 81, Indiana 69
  • Wisconsin 60, Rutgers 54
  • Wingate 58, Maryland 100
  • Michigan 57, Minnesota 75
  • OSU 87, Illinois 81
  • Penn State 72, Purdue 80
  • Iowa 96, Northwestern 73

Yes, Maryland played D-II Wingate because they didn't want to sit out the week when their game against Nebraska got postponed, and playing a lower-division team doesn't impact their NET ranking. It was a glorified scrimmage.

Ohio State is your big winner of the week, going 2-0 with an upset at Illinois despite losing their top two point guards. Purdue also went 2-0 with a rivalry win at Indiana. Northwestern is falling hard back to earth, losing both their games and continuing to plummet down the advanced rankings. Wisconsin ground out a 1-1 week by taking an ugly one at the RAC, while Iowa played only one game—against those flailing Wildcats—and continued their hot streak.

The Standings

  Record   KP/Torvik Avg   OFFENSE   DEFENSE
Team Overall Big Ten Nat Rk (change) Proj. B1G Rec. KP Torvik KP Torvik
IOWA 11-2 6-1 3.5 (up 1.5) 14.5-5.5 1st 1st 69th 117th
U-M 11-1 6-1 5.0 (up 1.5) 14.5-5 9th 9th 11th 13th
WIS 11-3 5-2 9.0 (down 5) 13.5-6.5 16th 17th 5th 7th
ILL 9-5 5-3 13.0 (down 4.5) 12-7.5 7th 10th 31st 44th
OSU 11-3 5-3 16.5 (up 4.5) 11.5-8 6th 6th 63rd 92nd
PUR 10-5 5-3 27.5 (up 8.5) 11.5-8 37th 48th 27th 27th
MIN 11-4 4-4 24.0 (up 10.5) 11-8.5 32nd 35th 29th 36th
IND 8-6 3-4 32.0 (down 10) 8.5-11 56th 64th 21st 16th
RUT 7-5 3-5 38.5 (down 3) 9-11 57th 58th 34th 38th
NW 6-6 3-5 61.5 (down 7.5) 7.5-12.5 67th 52nd 72nd 67th
MSU 8-4 2-4 46.0 (up 2) 7-12 46th 60th 48th 52nd
UMD 8-6 2-5 51.5 (down 5) 8-11.5 24th 22nd 86th 125th
PSU 3-5 0-4 42.5 (down 1) 7-12 29th 20th 83rd 85th
NEB 4-8 0-5 113.5 (down 7.5) 3-14.5* 136th 127th 125th 84th

*Torvik includes projections for games that have been postponed, KenPom only includes those that have been rescheduled.

Minnesota, courtesy of that game, is your biggest mover of the week, with Indiana nearly matching them in the opposite direction. The Boilermakers also made a significant jump. Meanwhile, OSU is close to catching Illinois in both the conference standings and the fancystats, while Wisconsin is caught between those two and the very two of Iowa and Michigan.

[Hit THE JUMP for the latest on COVID outbreaks, a blueprint for slowing Ayo Dosumnu, the question looming over Iowa, the freakiest GIF I've ever made, and more.]