ESPN FPI Team Efficiencies Update, 2017 Week 1

Submitted by Ecky Pting on

Whoops! I almost forgot to pick up this digest from last season!

The updated FPI team efficiency ratings have been posted, and Michigan comes in at #19 overall. As a start, this leaves a great deal of room for improvement from last season's entry point at #1 and closing point at #3. The U-M splits are offense, #59; defense, #3; and special teams, #37.

Obligitory disclaimer: first week ratings such a this are very noisy, but by week 3 or 4 these results should be more meaningful...

Of U-M's other 2017 opponents, PSU looks the strongest at #5 overall, followed by Maryland at #10 and AIR FORCE at #14! As such, the Falcons look like M's toughest OOC opponent, since the Gators pull up at a perfectly mediocre #64. Michigan does manage to edge OSU by one spot, so there's that. Oh yea, and Sparty enters at a much improved #52 to retain the title of Third Best Team in the State of Michigan. Meanwhile Western Michigan enters at #39.

Overall, 2 of Michigan's opponents are in the top ten, 5 are in the upper quartile of the ratings; all but 3 are in the upper half; and only one (Cincy) is in the lowest quartile.

Here's a brief synopsis of the ratings, or click the link above to see the whole list &/or sort by category:

RK TEAM OFF DEF S/T O'ALL
1 Stanford, Pac-12 98.2 93.6 45.6 98.9
2 Alabama, SEC 67.6 97.7 96.5 97.5
3 Army, FBS Indep. 97.5 66.4 100.0 96.8
4 Duke, ACC 86.3 98.4 57.9 96.8
5 Penn State, Big Ten 83.2 89.1 98.5 96.2
6 LSU, SEC 89.3 95.6 35.7 95.5
7 Vanderbilt, SEC 91.1 94.4 17.3 95.2
8 Clemson, ACC 95.1 86.1 25.3 94.5
9 Oklahoma State, Big 12 99.5 73.3 7.6 93.9
10 Maryland, Big Ten 94.6 81.7 59.1 93.1
14 Air Force, MW 90.7 78.8 34.5 89.6
19 Michigan, Big Ten 54.5 98.3 67.7 88.2
20 OSU, Big Ten 87.3 75.0 65.9 88.0
29 Wisconsin, Big Ten 61.7 87.4 43.2 77.6
39 W Michigan, MAC 83.9 38.2 70.5 71.4
49 Indiana, Big Ten 71.3 59.2 36.6 66.6
52 Michigan State, Big Ten 46.0 88.3 32.5 65.3
61 Purdue, Big Ten 62.3 69.4 7.2 58.4
64 Florida, SEC 10.3 88.1 35.4 56.4
87 E Michigan, MAC 27.7 65.3 33.7 41.7
88 Minnesota, Big Ten 31.1 55.3 51.0 39.9
95 Rutgers, Big Ten 46.7 61.3 2.3 36.1
116 Cincinnati, American 10.9 30.5 50.0 15.7
122 Cent Michigan, MAC 4.9 40.8 59.7 10.9

 

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Night_King

September 8th, 2017 at 1:55 PM ^

It'll be interesting to track this as the year goes on. Need at least 3-4 games to get a good read on any of these teams. MSU, for example, will degrade severely the next 2 weeks.

Joined: 03/02/2016

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morepete

September 8th, 2017 at 2:17 PM ^

FPI is consistently the worst advanced metrics system. I remember one year in which it incorrectly picked every bowl of the New Year's Six, including against the spread. Flipping a coin would perform better.

FEI and S&P+ are the only computer rankings to pay attention to

Joined: 10/23/2011

MGoPoints: 4520