MgoHillbilly

March 27th, 2018 at 3:19 PM ^

Well, I'm just going to go ahead and disagree with anyone who says Villanova could beat our asses. We may not win, but this defense will not suffer an ass beating.

Mich fan in AZ

March 27th, 2018 at 3:26 PM ^

If my research is correct, Villanova would have the weakest defense for a champion per advanced stats in recent history if they were to win. And Kansas's defense is even weaker by the same metrics. Michigan's offense isn't ideal, but two or three champs since 2002 haven't been as strong as ours either. I think Loyola would have the weakest offense though if they were to win. I know there's a lot more to the story than that....but I'm telling you, there's a chance! GO BLUE!!!

Mich fan in AZ

March 27th, 2018 at 3:43 PM ^

I looked at all of the past champs on both Kenpom and Barttorvik.com. I'm not discounting their defensive ranking on the season, but I am pretty sure I found that 94.6 (Villanova's defense number) on Kenpom is weaker than any other champ going back to 2002. UConn in 2014 had a weaker offense than ours, as did Syracuse in 2003. UConn's offense at the end of 2014 was ranked #39 on Kenpom! Ours is still about 115; theirs were below that number. Maybe 2014 was a crazy year, but it just shows it's possible. UConn in 2011 also had a slightly weaker offense than ours according to Bart Torvik - though not Kenpom.

814 East U

March 27th, 2018 at 3:19 PM ^

Before someone says this was Izzo, let me remind you that Izzo could never compliment this team. For Michigan's strengths, Izzo would probably say "they can bank it crazy 3's sometimes for weird guys" after Duncan misses wide open great looks.

It was Kelvin Sampson. He seems bitter and Michigan beat every BIG team this year so I am not sure any BIG coach would say Loyola would "beat our asses".

jmblue

March 27th, 2018 at 3:32 PM ^

Yeah, it's not Izzo.  He'd never admit that Michigan "feasted" on his team.  Also, it seems like this coach doesn't use a big lineup.  

I'm assuming these are coaches the four teams have faced in the tournament (although that isn't specified) so yeah, Sampson would seem likely.  And he would be one to call Poole an X-factor.

 

UM Griff

March 27th, 2018 at 5:06 PM ^

Izzo couldn’t even say “Michigan”, or “Beilein”, or any of the player’s names. Such a small man (literally and figuratively). With his early outs in the NCAA Tournament the past three years, his reputation is tarnished. It will be interesting to see if he holds on to his job.

rainingmaize

March 27th, 2018 at 3:38 PM ^

Notice how the coach mentioned you should attack Wagner in the post? If you can recall from the Houston game, the first few minutes they went heavy in the post against Wagner before Houston's big and Wagner got in foul trouble.

Spontaneous Co…

March 27th, 2018 at 4:24 PM ^

The way he declared Jordan Poole the obvious "X" factor, added to what has been mentioned elsewhere in this thread make me very confident that it was Coach Sampson.  He also would be very surprised by our physical defense since his last run in with Beilein was when our D was super soft.

UMgradMSUdad

March 27th, 2018 at 5:21 PM ^

Sampson is who came to mind for me as well. His post-game comments were salty and a bit delusional as well, claiming Houston was the better team.  At the time, it made me wonder if he just really dislikes Beilein because a) he's clean, and b) he's a better coach.

Alumnus93

March 27th, 2018 at 3:25 PM ^

I enjoyed reading that, but not sure if I agree with the author.

Most important player he implies is Wagner... but is that really the case anymore?  This is a true team and I cannot say its any one player. Look, when Wagner was finishing his freshman year I said he is our most key player going forward, so don't think I'm down on Wagner now... but every player seems most valuable now.   One can argue Matthews...another could say MAAR... even X and his D..... 

And he mentions Poole as the X-factor?  Again, I don't know...Poole made a season saving shot but hasn't been a factor, really.... why not Duncan and his 3s... or X and his defense and very underreported driving ability, or Teske, too... when hes been in he has been outstanding.

Man, I love this team... truly....  I realized it in late February, just a great group of players.

jmblue

March 27th, 2018 at 3:44 PM ^

If the "X-factor" is something that is a total variable and could go either way, I don't think that describes Simpson's defense.  At this point we can count on him giving the man he's guarding a tough time.

 

 

J.

March 27th, 2018 at 3:28 PM ^

This is mostly terrible analysis, so I'm guessing it didn't come from a coach who, you know, beat Michigan, despite their glaring weaknesses and constant grabbiness and whatnot.

I do agree that Loyola isn't a great matchup for Michigan.  Robinson is a better post defender than these coaches give him credit for, but he's not a great perimeter defender, so their 4 may get some looks.  However, Wagner creates the same problem for their 5.  Michigan is, and should be, favored, but it's certainly possible for Loyola to win.  But, uh.. if it happens, it's mostly likely to be by perimeter shooting.

Actually, wait a second.  We've all now put more time into this than the anonymous coaches did. :)

LabattsBleu

March 27th, 2018 at 3:43 PM ^

i don't know... 

Z on Custer? I'll take Z every time.... Matthews will erase the next top scorer - or guy that the offense moves through.

FSU must have blocked 6 balls right at the cup, not to mention 6 or so wide open clean looks from 3 Michigan had...

Neither of those things happen versus Loyola.

I honestly think the game will be convincing victory by Michigan.

1VaBlue1

March 27th, 2018 at 3:47 PM ^

Kelvin Sampson, probably interviewed because his team came the closest to beating Michigan.  So he would have good insight, right?  I'm pretty sure tha is how a reporter would think of it.  Anyway, I'll disagree with him - Wagner is not the most important piece.  They've won plenty of games when he's missing virtually everything.  And he doesn't avoid the post, he hits plenty of shots in the low post.  But the offense takes advantage of his ability to get outside and wreak havoc.

X-factor would be Simpson.  He's going to wipe out whoever is handling the ball for the opponent, without the opponent understanding that he's been wiped out.  And yes, I'll say it here - Zavier Simpson will wipe out Jalen Brunson, should they play against each other.

And I think they will.

'...yeah, I'm still unguardable...'

JamieH

March 27th, 2018 at 3:49 PM ^

Jordan Poole is great.  He's not our X-Factor.  Maybe our Y or Z Factor. 
 

Duncan Robinson is our X-Factor.  If he is ON, and I mean ON, this team is unbeatable.  He hasn't been on in a ton of games this year.  But when he is getting good looks and shooting well, Michigan has one too many people to guard. 

oriental andrew

March 27th, 2018 at 7:50 PM ^

about Duncan is that they said at some point that Michigan is undefeated when Robinson scores six or more points. when he sank that free throw to hit six against FSU, I was like, "we're good!"

charblue.

March 27th, 2018 at 3:55 PM ^

Sarturday and tried three immediate post-up attempts before abandoning the inside game based on 1 for 3 scoring.  They then settled for drives and mid-range jumpers and scored fewer points than they managed in the first half. And with two minutes left they trailed by 10, cutting the margin to four by game's end with their survival on the line.

The point is, Michigan was never challenged on the interior even with supposed susceptible interior defenders such as Duncan Robinson and Isaiah Livers.

The author of the scouting report on Michigan is clearly not a Big Ten coach because he would have known in advance how Michigan plays defensively and that it's "handsy." Not sure what the point of that comment was, whether is was meant to suggest Michigan gets away with lot of uncalled fouls or whether it leads to a lot of transition opportunities off deflections.

If mirroring of Michigan by Loyola with its style and pieces is their advantage, how come it didn't work when other teams tried that and commitment to fulltime ball-screen switching against other opponents including Purdue and MSU. All teams have done that against Michigan.

This coach has viewed Michigan through the prism of his own experience and games in this tournament, whoever it is. I just think Michigan has five-out shooters who can do what other teams can't offensively, wihich is read and react off the defense and play a stubborn defense that leads to more scoring opportunities especially with the TO rates of Loyola's starting five, something this coach didn't even consider.

JamieH

March 27th, 2018 at 4:11 PM ^

This is a coach who lost to Michigan whining and crying.  Nothing less.

Michigan is certainly more physical this year than they have been in the past, and I say good!  Beilein has always had his teams play so contact adverse in the past and I hated it.  Our defense was way too soft.  I love offensive basketball, but whenever our shooting went south we had almost zero chance to win an ugly game.  In this tournmant we've now won THREE ugly games because this team plays defense, and defense shows up every game. 

I always felt the most misunderstood thing about the Fab 5 were that they were actually a defensive basketball team.  Steve Fisher was a defensive basketball coach. His offenses were never anything special, but he coached really good defense, and it showed up every night.  That's why, IMO, he had so much tournament success (well, that and having about 10 future NBA players on his teams).  Defense shows up in every game. 

trueblueintexas

March 27th, 2018 at 5:10 PM ^

Good call on the Fab 5. To get through my afternoon at work Friday I pulled up the '93 Semifinal against Kentucky. It was pretty brutal watching that team play offense compared to what we see with Beilein's teams.

What they could do on defense, on the other hand, was amazing. They could switch almost every position 1-5 making it almost impossible to find an advantage.

gustave ferbert

March 27th, 2018 at 3:59 PM ^

has to prepare.  I've been quoting the Tim Hardaway Jr. line all tournament. 

 

Has Loyola had to match up against a guy like Wagner?  They play four guards and a center who is 6'9" .  I don't know how the coach who was questioned can say they can beat our asses.  

Matthews on Ben Davidson.  And I see Simpson shutting down their PG. 

 

TheRonimal

March 27th, 2018 at 5:13 PM ^

I was kind of thrown off by the phrasing he used, but I mean they could beat our ass. I seriously doubt it, but it’s possible. I just don’t see that type of thing happening with our defense. We’d have to play an extremely bad game offensively to get blown out. While I kind of agree with him about how Loyola can match up with us, I do think Wagner will have some opportunities he’ll hopefully be able to capitalize on.

LSAClassOf2000

March 27th, 2018 at 6:12 PM ^

Loyola can beat their asses. Everyone saying this is a mismatch is wrong. Loyola has a bunch of like pieces, which screws up Michigan’s offense.

Who gave Izzo the mic? Come on, where's the real analysis.

Rodriguesqe

March 27th, 2018 at 7:52 PM ^

Meh, everyone is entitled to their opinion. This coach will be glad he is annonymous when we win by 12 pts Saturday.