BtN - Big 10 Player Ranks
All numbers are points per game better than average. For more detailed questions on how the numbers come about, click here.
Quarterbacks
This year has not been a banner year for QBs in the Big 10. No QB ranks higher than #29 in the country in value added above average and as a whole, the Big 10 is tied with the Big East for worst overall QB play among BCS auto-qualifiers.
The problems were especially magnified this week when no full time quarterback graded out to a positive value. Denard Robinson and Juice Williams both crossed into positive territory, but neither started for their teams last week. The top performance for a starting QB in the Big 10 last week was Joey Elliott from Purdue with a -1 against Minnesota. This was the best performance by a starting QB in the Big 10 last week. Not good.
Player - QB - Season
Kirk Cousins takes over the top spot this week, despite not playing last week vs Illinois.
Forcier is in a virtual tie with Pryor for the #3 slot and Denard's +2 in limited action looks decent compared to what else is out there in the Big 10 this year.
Running Backs
Despite no backs in the conference going over 100 for the week, there was a clear cut winner in overall performance on the ground. Larry Caper from MSU earns performance of the week. His 16 carries for 95 yards plus another 44 on the ground was good for +9 on the day (+12 before adjusting for Illinois' weakness). No other back was higher than +5 and Brandon Minor came in third for the week at +4.
Player - RB - Season
Carlos Brown, like Cousins, takes over the top spot in a week in which he didn't see action. Ralph Bolden continues to plummet as his early season success looks more and more like an apparition. Brandon Minor is also near the top, coming in at 6th.
Receivers/Tight Ends
Performance of the week: Tony Moeaki sprint through the Michigan secondary last week was good for a +9 rating and performance of the week honors. Martavious Odoms had a nice showing for Michigan, putting up the 3rd best game from a receiver in the Big 10 last week, with a +7.
Player - WR - Season
At +8 ppg, Eric Decker of Minnesota holds onto his top spot this week, despite a woeful Minnesota passing game last week. Keith Smith, however, is the leader when targeted at +6.
No Wolverines qualified for the rankings (4 catches, 50 yards or .5 TDs/game) as no one has been able to consistently step up from the receiving core on a week to week basis.
Quarterbacks
This year has not been a banner year for QBs in the Big 10. No QB ranks higher than #29 in the country in value added above average and as a whole, the Big 10 is tied with the Big East for worst overall QB play among BCS auto-qualifiers.
The problems were especially magnified this week when no full time quarterback graded out to a positive value. Denard Robinson and Juice Williams both crossed into positive territory, but neither started for their teams last week. The top performance for a starting QB in the Big 10 last week was Joey Elliott from Purdue with a -1 against Minnesota. This was the best performance by a starting QB in the Big 10 last week. Not good.
Player - QB - Season
| Player | Team | G | Value+ | Value | Yards | Rush Yards | YPA | TD% | INT% | COMP% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | Michigan State | 4 | 5.22 | 6.63 | 204.75 | 29.67 | 7.58 | 3.70% | 3.70% | 62.96% |
| Mike Kafka | Northwestern | 5 | 4.54 | 8.35 | 254.40 | 40.80 | 6.77 | 2.66% | 2.13% | 65.43% |
| Daryll Clark | Penn State | 5 | 4.25 | 4.71 | 223.80 | 29.75 | 7.36 | 5.92% | 3.95% | 60.53% |
| Tate Forcier | Michigan | 6 | 2.84 | 4.36 | 163.00 | 39.33 | 7.14 | 6.57% | 2.92% | 56.93% |
| Terrelle Pryor | Ohio State | 6 | 2.83 | 3.09 | 158.00 | 66.67 | 7.41 | 7.03% | 4.69% | 56.25% |
| Scott Tolzien | Wisconsin | 5 | 2.60 | 1.84 | 224.00 | 21.60 | 7.57 | 4.73% | 3.38% | 61.49% |
| Denard Robinson | Michigan | 4 | 2.07 | 2.51 | 21.75 | 51.00 | 5.80 | 0.00% | 20.00% | 46.67% |
| Joey Elliott | Purdue | 6 | 2.00 | 2.06 | 257.50 | 31.50 | 7.32 | 5.69% | 4.27% | 59.72% |
| Keith Nichol | Michigan State | 5 | 1.20 | 1.71 | 100.20 | 18.40 | 8.95 | 5.36% | 5.36% | 51.79% |
| Adam Weber | Minnesota | 6 | 0.88 | 1.83 | 203.83 | 8.00 | 7.28 | 3.57% | 4.76% | 55.36% |
| Ricky Stanzi | Iowa | 5 | -0.09 | -1.35 | 223.40 | 14.20 | 7.16 | 5.77% | 5.13% | 53.85% |
| Ben Chappell | Indiana | 5 | -1.02 | -3.03 | 196.60 | 0.00 | 6.22 | 2.53% | 3.16% | 60.76% |
| Juice Williams | Illinois | 4 | -1.96 | -6.25 | 153.00 | 50.25 | 5.83 | 1.90% | 3.81% | 53.33% |
| Eddie Mcgee | Illinois | 3 | -3.97 | -3.68 | 26.00 | 12.00 | 3.25 | 0.00% | 8.33% | 33.33% |
Kirk Cousins takes over the top spot this week, despite not playing last week vs Illinois.
Forcier is in a virtual tie with Pryor for the #3 slot and Denard's +2 in limited action looks decent compared to what else is out there in the Big 10 this year.
Running Backs
Despite no backs in the conference going over 100 for the week, there was a clear cut winner in overall performance on the ground. Larry Caper from MSU earns performance of the week. His 16 carries for 95 yards plus another 44 on the ground was good for +9 on the day (+12 before adjusting for Illinois' weakness). No other back was higher than +5 and Brandon Minor came in third for the week at +4.
Player - RB - Season
| Player | Team | G | Value+ | Value | Rush | Yards | TD | YPC | Rec Yards | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Brown | Michigan | 5 | 3.09 | 4.50 | 8.80 | 67.20 | 0.60 | 7.64 | 29.75 | 0.25 |
| Larry Caper | Michigan State | 5 | 2.23 | 2.88 | 10.60 | 48.20 | 1.00 | 4.55 | 44.00 | 0.00 |
| Ralph Bolden | Purdue | 6 | 2.10 | 2.87 | 19.00 | 99.00 | 0.67 | 5.21 | 25.00 | 0.17 |
| Evan Royster | Penn State | 5 | 2.00 | 3.24 | 15.60 | 78.40 | 0.80 | 5.03 | 22.75 | 0.25 |
| Jaycen Taylor | Purdue | 4 | 1.43 | 2.07 | 6.25 | 28.00 | 0.75 | 4.48 | 38.00 | 1.00 |
| Brandon Minor | Michigan | 5 | 1.40 | 1.79 | 11.20 | 55.00 | 0.80 | 4.91 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Darius Willis | Indiana | 3 | 0.84 | 1.61 | 14.00 | 80.33 | 1.00 | 5.74 | 27.00 | 0.00 |
| Adam Robinson | Iowa | 5 | 0.83 | 0.41 | 14.60 | 73.20 | 0.60 | 5.01 | 16.50 | 0.00 |
| John Clay | Wisconsin | 5 | 0.75 | 2.37 | 24.00 | 114.20 | 1.40 | 4.76 | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| D Eskridge | Minnesota | 6 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 8.17 | 34.83 | 0.50 | 4.27 | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| Stephfon Green | Penn State | 5 | 0.71 | 1.32 | 7.40 | 38.00 | 0.40 | 5.14 | 18.50 | 0.00 |
| Brandon Saine | Ohio State | 6 | 0.64 | 1.36 | 10.50 | 58.17 | 0.00 | 5.54 | 20.60 | 0.00 |
| Duane Bennett | Minnesota | 6 | 0.22 | 0.44 | 10.17 | 44.00 | 0.83 | 4.33 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Daniel Dufrene | Illinois | 3 | 0.18 | -0.73 | 8.00 | 31.33 | 0.00 | 3.92 | 17.50 | 0.00 |
| Jordan Hall | Ohio State | 3 | -0.20 | 0.44 | 8.33 | 34.33 | 0.00 | 4.12 | ||
| Dan Herron | Ohio State | 5 | -0.87 | -0.22 | 13.00 | 44.60 | 1.00 | 3.43 | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| D Mccray | Indiana | 5 | -0.94 | -0.39 | 8.80 | 45.60 | 0.20 | 5.18 | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| Zach Brown | Wisconsin | 5 | -1.57 | -0.87 | 8.40 | 30.00 | 0.20 | 3.57 | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| Arby Fields | Northwestern | 5 | -1.62 | -0.78 | 9.00 | 28.60 | 0.40 | 3.18 | 11.67 | 0.00 |
| Jacob Schmidt | Northwestern | 5 | -1.83 | -0.66 | 8.20 | 28.40 | 0.00 | 3.46 | 29.50 | 0.00 |
| Brandon Wegher | Iowa | 5 | -2.26 | -2.21 | 14.00 | 58.00 | 0.60 | 4.14 | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| Glenn Winston | Michigan State | 5 | -2.71 | -2.06 | 10.80 | 36.00 | 0.40 | 3.33 | 6.00 | 0.00 |
Carlos Brown, like Cousins, takes over the top spot in a week in which he didn't see action. Ralph Bolden continues to plummet as his early season success looks more and more like an apparition. Brandon Minor is also near the top, coming in at 6th.
Receivers/Tight Ends
Performance of the week: Tony Moeaki sprint through the Michigan secondary last week was good for a +9 rating and performance of the week honors. Martavious Odoms had a nice showing for Michigan, putting up the 3rd best game from a receiver in the Big 10 last week, with a +7.
Player - WR - Season
| Player | Team | G | Value+ | Value All | Rec | Yards | YPR | TD | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decker | Minnesota | 6 | 8.02 | 5.30 | 7.67 | 114.83 | 14.98 | 0.83 | 66.06% |
| Keith Smith | Purdue | 6 | 7.73 | 6.10 | 7.00 | 97.50 | 13.93 | 0.67 | 78.90% |
| Aaron Valentin | Purdue | 6 | 6.15 | 3.81 | 4.83 | 59.33 | 12.28 | 0.83 | 61.93% |
| Tandon Doss | Indiana | 5 | 4.89 | 3.20 | 6.20 | 80.20 | 12.94 | 0.20 | 65.31% |
| Marvin Mcnutt | Iowa | 4 | 4.82 | 2.76 | 2.25 | 57.50 | 25.56 | 0.50 | 57.38% |
| Keshawn Martin | Michigan State | 3 | 4.51 | 1.99 | 2.00 | 54.00 | 27.00 | 0.67 | 44.08% |
| Derek Moye | Penn State | 5 | 4.39 | 1.68 | 3.60 | 57.60 | 16.00 | 0.40 | 38.25% |
| Blair White | Michigan State | 5 | 4.31 | 2.46 | 4.80 | 57.40 | 11.96 | 0.40 | 57.13% |
| B Cunningham | Michigan State | 5 | 4.30 | 2.69 | 4.40 | 52.40 | 11.91 | 0.40 | 62.53% |
| Garrett Graham | Wisconsin | 5 | 4.26 | 2.51 | 5.00 | 58.40 | 11.68 | 0.60 | 58.76% |
| Chaz Powell | Penn State | 4 | 4.26 | 3.36 | 3.75 | 53.25 | 14.20 | 0.50 | 78.92% |
| Devier Posey | Ohio State | 6 | 4.25 | 1.65 | 3.50 | 44.67 | 12.76 | 0.50 | 38.75% |
| Mark Dell | Michigan State | 4 | 4.23 | 1.48 | 3.50 | 58.50 | 16.71 | 0.25 | 35.08% |
| Isaac Anderson | Wisconsin | 5 | 3.98 | 3.31 | 3.60 | 61.60 | 17.11 | 0.20 | 83.04% |
| Trey Stross | Iowa | 4 | 3.98 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 51.75 | 14.79 | 0.25 | 56.66% |
| D Sanzenbacher | Ohio State | 6 | 3.97 | 3.27 | 2.67 | 54.33 | 20.38 | 0.67 | 82.30% |
| Nick Toon | Wisconsin | 5 | 3.67 | 1.39 | 4.00 | 50.40 | 12.60 | 0.40 | 37.81% |
| Andrew Brewer | Northwestern | 3 | 3.59 | 2.32 | 3.00 | 45.00 | 15.00 | 0.67 | 64.69% |
| Drake Dunsmore | Northwestern | 5 | 3.20 | 1.75 | 4.80 | 51.00 | 10.63 | 0.20 | 54.64% |
| D Belcher | Indiana | 4 | 2.92 | 0.82 | 4.25 | 43.25 | 10.18 | 0.00 | 27.93% |
| Graham Zug | Penn State | 4 | 2.83 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 45.25 | 12.07 | 0.50 | 72.44% |
| Z Markshausen | Northwestern | 5 | 2.76 | 0.87 | 6.20 | 63.60 | 10.26 | 0.00 | 31.61% |
At +8 ppg, Eric Decker of Minnesota holds onto his top spot this week, despite a woeful Minnesota passing game last week. Keith Smith, however, is the leader when targeted at +6.
No Wolverines qualified for the rankings (4 catches, 50 yards or .5 TDs/game) as no one has been able to consistently step up from the receiving core on a week to week basis.
October 13th, 2009 at 7:41 PM ^
And it's pretty fair to say we've got an above average offense.
October 13th, 2009 at 11:32 PM ^
Here is what I have so far for schedule ranking, remember, games vs 1AA opponents are completely excluded and don't help or hurt any numbers.
Team Total
Illinois 6.71
Wisconsin 3.51
Michigan State 2.94
Iowa 2.00
Indiana 1.32
Michigan 0.90
Purdue -0.48
Minnesota -1.92
Ohio State -2.80
Penn State -6.43
Northwestern -7.23
October 14th, 2009 at 3:56 PM ^
Is this only for opponents played or for the entire season as a whole?
October 14th, 2009 at 4:32 PM ^
This is just for opponents already played.
October 14th, 2009 at 4:49 PM ^
Will be interesting to see what it looks like at the end of the year.
October 13th, 2009 at 7:43 PM ^
can you separate out good/bad receiver play from good/bad quarterback play? Just eyeballing it, they seem to be significantly correlated.
October 16th, 2009 at 3:45 PM ^
I would imagine this would require a significantly larger data set than what has been available to this point. It would either require a significant outlier in terms of QB performance for a team, or one team's QB actually playing for another team.
The only problem with the outlier concept is that the receivers are going to improve as much as the qb does, giving you the same outlier status for the receivers.
Or he would have to evaluate for good performance by a qb in terms of actual quality of the throws as opposed to just completions/yars.
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