purdue

[ed: bump so hard Jake Ryan wanna fine me]

[ed-S: I had to completely repost due to some bad html that was making it unreadable, so all the old comments are gone. Apologies to those of you who commented earlier--if you didn't, all you missed is Blue Seoul doesn't live in Seoul anymore]

Working Too Hard

So this is what it's like having a real job.  I have enough time to watch the games, but not enough to obsessively analyze them.  But there's been a lingering question about Fitz's lack of productivity compared to last season that I wanted to take a stab at answering.  So even though it's a couple weeks late, here's my analysis of what's been going wrong for Fitz. 

I see three main differences that are causing the lack of production:

  • Fitz is being overworked
  • The blocking is not as good
  • Fitz is lacking some burst

There are some other problems in the defensive schemes and matchups, the playcalling, and our lack of run audibles, but these are minor issues and don't really explain everything. 

For Fitz' sake!

So the stat line is god awful, but when you look at his entire day, Fitz didn't do so bad.  The injury to Hopkins and the lack of a true fullback has really hurt. Purdue also had their safeties crashing down in run support and they've got a few NFL caliber guys on the D-Line.  But that's not gonna be any different when we go against MSU, OSU, Neb, and Wisc. The disappearance of Vincent on 3rd downs is also a concern.  It means Fitz is spending more and more time on the field, and more of it blocking. 
 
Here's Fitz's day: (*pictured)
 
First Drive
1st10 zoneread fake
2nd5 blocked for jetsweep
3rd1 iso dive* 12:28 into a pile
 
Fitzdive3rd1
 
This play is going nowhere right from the start.  We come out in a doubletight I left.  Purdue counters by bringing the SS down into the box on the field side.  At this point, Denard should really have audibled to attack the open bubble over the right side, but I doubt he has the freedom to do that, and we're running behind Lewan, our best lineman. 
 
Fitzdive3rd1b
 
We pull a guard, and things are looking okay at the point of attack.  Their safety is keying our FB and crashing hard on this short yardarge play. 
 
Fitzdive3rd1c
 
The problem really starts when the interior linemen scrape off their chip blocks to get to the LB's.  They haven't helped out enough to get leverage and the DTs squeeze the hole.  You might chalk this up to the "Purdue's Talent"  But then, say that phrase to yourself a few times and think about how weird it sounds. 
 
Fitzdive3rd1d
 
The pulling guard is looking for someone to hit instead of just driving into the pile to get the 1 yard. And with the safety in the box, he's got two unblocked guys to choose from.
 
Fitzdive3rd1e
 
Lewan whiffs on the 2nd level, and behind him, the DE has beaten the TE.  The backside DT is squeezing the hole and we've got two blockers trying to clear out 2 and half defenders. 
 
Fitzdive3rd1f
 
By the time Fitz gets to the l.o.s. there's a huge clusterfuck and nowhere to go. 
 
Fitzdive3rd1g
 
He tries to plow forward and push the pile, but the safety pushes him back. 
 
[AFTER THE JUMP: ADDITIONAL ITEMS]
 
1st10 split wide as decoy
2nd6 sweep to the strong side*
 
Fitzsweepreversefake
 
This play is an example of  Borges butting together a symphony of strong beats instead of playing a harmony of chords.  It's just a simple sweep, but Gallon is going to fake a reverse.  This helps keep the edge defenders at home, but it is to the detriment of the current play.  But when you look at the game as a whole, this kind of thing opens up other plays for Denard and the reverse and screens.  It starts as a spread look with double flankers to the right.  The Sam is splitting the difference between Gallon and the TE.
 
Fitzsweepreversefakeb
 
Once we snap the ball and show sweep motion both ILB's flow with the pulling linemen.  The Sam has to be mindful of Gallon, so that slows him down a fraction of a second. 
 
Fitzsweepreversefakec
 
But once he reads run, he's sitting right there to make the play.  The hope is that he's locked into man coverage on Gallon and he'll take himself out of the play.  If we get lucky, he might run into his own teammates.  But this is a very suboptimal use of Gallon, if you're only concerned about this single play, and not about setting up future plays.  If Gallon had cracked down on the Sam or the Mike, it's possible that the Will gets caught up in the trash and this play breaks for a huge gain. Instead, it's almost like Borges is asking Fitz to "take one for the team" on this play.  Even with the reverse fake, we still could have gotten decen yardage if the frontside DE had been blocked better and our pulling linemen didn't have to go around him. 
 
Fitzsweepreversefaked
 
But with that DE crashing so hard and our TE holding on for dear life, Fitz has to jump out of the way, and this blows up all the timing for the blocks. 
 
Fitzsweepreversefakef
 
A couple more missed blocks and Purdue has three guys in position to make the stop.
 
Fitzsweepreversefakeg
 
So the line isn't helping Fitz.  But Fitz also missed the hole.  Last year he would have dived between his two lead blockers and gotten 4 or 5 yards instead of getting stuffed by the pursuit. That last part is on Fitz. 
 
3rd7 flare
1st10 frontside blocker on the reverse
2nd3 sweep, bad block bounces it outside.
3rd1 Leadblock for Denard (didn't touch anyone)
1st10 Zonelead to the weakside where the safety was walked up, safety made the tackle, drags him for 5 extra yards.*
 
fitzweaklead
 
I like Devin Funchess, I think he's going to be one of the all time great receiving TE's in Wolverine History.  But right now, he's a liability as a run blocker. Note the size difference between him and the guy next to him.  But more on that later.  It's 1st down and the SS is walked up with a directive to crash the l.o.s. 
 
fitzweakleadb
 
The blocking design is okay, we've got a hat on a hat, except for the safety.  The problem is that we seem to be losing each of those individual battles.  This is another play where we kind of outsmarted ourselves and Purdue was overplaying our tendencies.  If Hopkins is in there, we have the opportunity to audible away from the safety.  Instead, he's right on the l.o.s. to make the tackle.  Fitz does a good job of dragging him for 5 yards. 
 
2nd3 Zoneread kept, so he's blocking the crashing end
3rd4 Naked flare, pass is too tall
4th4 passblock (no contact)
1st10 Leadblock for Vincent
2nd9 fake sweep
3rd5 blocking
1stG Hands on hips, he's already tired.Review TO
1stG Dive, no blocking, nowhere to go.* Purdue offsides
 

Fitzgoallinestuffed

This play didn't count, but it's indicative of the kind of problems the O-line was having in short yardage. Notice how all the defenders are keeping their blockers at arms length, they've got their heads up to watch the ball, and their lateral movement is keeping them on the l.o.s. instead of getting pushed back into the endzone.  After watching a year of Greg Mattison, this is some pretty good fundamentals from the Boiler DL.  Fitz takes the ball a little wider than he should have, but part of that is the fullback, #36 just got destroyed.  He's too small, and his pad level is too high.  It would have been a tough cut, but there was a little bit of space behind Schofield.  That's the kind of cut Fitz was making at the end of last year. But he either didn't see it, or was too tired on this play. 

Fitzgoallinestuffedb

And Schofield has to do a better job of driving his block even when the defender is slanting hard. 
 
1stG Exact same play, FB blocks the outside man instead of the inside man. Fitz barely scores. FB too high, too small.
 
(Roh at DT NOT GOOD, head down, missed the draw.)
 
Second Drive
1st10 zoneread kept
1st10 leadblock for Denard
2nd7 inside zoneread give, terrible blocking* jukes the free man and stumbles forward for 5 extra
 
Fitzinsidezonebadblocking
 
When two linemen whif at the point of attack, it's amazing to get any yards at all. Also note the unblocked optioned man is so far from the mesh that it doesn't affect him either way. 
 
3rd2 Leadblock on the power option*
 

Denardearlypitch

I've noted it before, but here's another example of why we don't run more veer and speed option.  Denard just doesn't have much experience or feel for the pitch.  On this play we had a nice wall and he should have stuck his nose in there for the first down.  I don't particularly like that, because I don't want him to take unnecessary hits. But he pitches this ball way too early. 

Denardearlypitchb

The guy that you suck in and pitch off of should never be able to make a tackle on the pitchman, but that's exactly what happened on this play. 
 
1st10 Zoneread give, denard should have kept, Funchess can't runblock, liability
2nd10 Decoy run fake 
Start 2nd Quarter
3rd10 bench
1stG Basically same play as previous goal line dive, no push from the line, sneaks in for TD anyway.*
 
goallineblownback
 
The o-line is getting pushed back nearly two yards on the playside. 
 
goallineblownbackb
 
But Fitz somehow twists keeps his legs driving and manages to get in for the TD anway. 
 
Back to back turnovers, game over.*
 
suninmyeyefumble
 
I'm not saying the sun was in his eyes.  But the sun WAS in his eyes. 
 
Third Drive
1st10, leadblocker
2nd10, after falsestart. Hit in the backfield by runblitz.
3rd10 passblock
 
Fourth Drive
1st10 Bench 5WR
2nd2 Leadblocker*
 
fitzblocking
 
That probably could have been called a holding, but I like the effort.  
 
1st10 Leadblocker on endaround
2nd8 Playaction
1st10 Playaction
2nd7 Zoneread keep, shoulda given. Fitz tried to take, slapped his hands in frustration.
 
denardkept
 
So, there's a bunch of defenders right up the middle, and not a lot on the outside.  Fitz really wanted this ball and nearly took it from Denard. 
 
3rd7 Blitz pickup
 
Fifth Drive 2 minute drill
1st10 Bench (ball fumbled on runblitz)
 
Halftime
 
Sixth Drive
1st10 leadblock
2nd1 leadblock
1st10 zoneread give, missed the hole strongside unblocked safety crashing support, walked up.*
 
SSwalkup
 
From alignment, the safety doesn't look like he's in the box, but at the snap of the ball, he's essentially blitzing. 
 
SSwalkupb
 
This is one of the few times when we got a nice walled off hole, but the safety is already at the l.o.s. by the time Fitz gets the ball. Last year, Fitz woulda given him a stiff arm, taken the outside path, and stumbled forward for an extra 4 or 5 yards.  On this play he cuts back and the unblocked pursuit gets him with no possibility of a broken tackle. 
 
2nd7 passblock
3rd7 passblock
 
Seventh Drive
1st10 zoneread give, CB blitz and the DL slanted away, nowhere to go.
2nd8 playaction fake
3rd2 leadblock
1st10 zoneread keep
1st10 outsidezone nowhere to go, OL can't sustain blocks. *
 
badblockingoutsidezone
 
The blocking on this play is horrid.  We've got plenty of guys out in front, they just can't stick to their defenders. 
 
2nd10 Doubletight dive. OL can't get to the reach blocks. Funchess again a liability as a runblocker.*
 
badblockingbigdive
 
I don't know what this is.  But it's ugly. Really f***ing ugly.  Look at Funchess 4 yards deep in his own backfield on a running play. 
 
3rd10 bench
 
Eighth Drive
1st15 splitbacks, weakside dive. The safety is coming down so hard he's sitting in the hole and Fitz takes it up the middle instead of bouncing outside.*
 
fitzweaksidedive
 
Again the safety is coming up in run support, so there's going to be an unblocked defender in the hole.  Gallon is giving a hitch fake so Borges can see whether or not the safety is reacting to him.  He doesn't.  So Fitz 'takes another one for the team'. 
 
fitzweaksidediveb
 
Lewan actually gets a pretty decent block and Fitz might have had some yards if he'd bounced it outside the tackle.  But that unblocked safety is making him rush his decision and he cuts it inside where the DL and LB are squeezing down away from the blitzing safety. 
 
2nd15 leadblocker
3rd12 outlet hook
1st10 playaction fake
2nd10 bench
3rd8 flat route
 
4th Quarter
 
Ninth Drive
1st10 zoneread keep. Denard pops open for like 60 yards
1st10 zoneread give, unblocked end eats him up. no push on the frontside
2nd11 offtackle with a reverse fake.  Pulling lineman has to choose which of the 5 (FIVE!) unblocked defenders to pick up.*
 
badblockingofftackle
 
At least the reverse is going to be wide open.  Sorry Fitz, no soup for you on this play.
 
2nd26 leadblock for QB draw, looks tired, runs into Denard
3rd18 passblock
 
Tenth Drive
1st10 zoneread give, there was a hole, but it was squeezed down pretty quickly, fitz didn't look like he had any burst left to get there. 
2nd8 leadblocker
1st10 zoneread give, decent blocking this time the hole is again squeezed shut, but there is good push up the middle, but fitz doesn't slam the hole when he has a chance, instead he bounces outside for no gain instead of the 4 or 5 yards he could have had. *
 
fitzbouncebad
 
The line has gotten a good two yard push, so Fitz could have just ridden them for a nice pickup on first down.  In the podcast for this game, Brian was complaining of Fitz bounce, bounce, bouncing too much, but this was the only egregious example I could find. 
 
2nd10 Leadblocker, very tired, is jogging halfway through the play.
3rd6 playaction pass block
 
11th Drive
1st10 Bench
2nd5 Bench
3rd3 Bench
1stG Bench
 
So out of about 70 offensive plays, Fitz was in on 60, and he was blocking on 25 plays in addition to carrying the rock 17 times. The rest of the plays were zonereads he didn't get the ball on, playaction fakes, or passing routes. Fitz was being used a lot on short yardarge downs, so that's part of what pulled down his ypc. Five of his 17 carries were short yardage plays and another 6 or 7 were terribly blocked. So he had about 5 carries for about 20 yards and a couple of goalline TD's.  That's not great, but it's about what you'd expect from a FB who is blocking all day. 
 
In the end, I think there's nothing wrong with Fitz that a lighter workload and better blocking won't cure.  The return of Hopkins, the development of Rawls in short yardarge, and the return of Vincent on 3rd downs with his billygoat blocking would be very helpful for Fitz's ypc. 
 
Last year, many of Fitz's big runs came late in games when the defense was tired and he was fresh.  With all the blocking, that's not happening this year. 

ETC:

Jake MotherF****** Ryan! The long lost brother of Jack MotherF******** Johnson.  I like how having an expletive as your middle name has become a term of endearment. 

JakeMFKINGRyan

Look at how far away he is from this play.  But his instant recognition and his quick first step™ allow him make the play.

JakeMFKINGRyanb

 He completely takes the running back by surprise with his Superman impression.  

JakeMFKINGRyanc

And trips him up for a nice TFL.  That's called 'selling out' on a play.  (Giving it your all)

The most nonchalant hook n' ladder pitch of all time.

hooknladder

"I ain't got the ball."

Devin Gardner's Development

Gardnerhighpointball

I believe that's what the kids are calling, "Highpointing the ball". 

How does scoring a touchdown make DG feel?

Gardnersmile

Pretty damn good. 

How do two TD's make Fitz feel?  

Fitzglare

Well, alllllrighty then...I'm not real good at reading expressions, but I'm pretty sure that one is saying "Hey twitter, STFU."

Hate Week: Never Forget.

 

[ed: bump]

Know your enemy

Not much time this week, but I wanted to put up some plays from the OSU games, Neb game wrap will come out during the down time before the bowl game.  Win or lose vs TSIO, revisiting the beatdown will be something fun to do in a week or so. 

Unbalanced I-Form

OSU used a lot of unbalanced sets against Purdue, so our CB's have to be ready for it and talk to the LB's so that we can get properly aligned. 

unbalancedofftackle

On this play, the boilers are in man coverage so when the TE flops, the OLB goes with him. This means the the DE no longer has contain so both he and the DT on that side shift down a gap. The OLB needs to be aware that his man is now ineligible to go downfield, so he doesn't have any coverage responsibilities, or he's got backs coming out of the backfield. 

unbalancedofftackle2

Purdue is betting against Miller's passing game and has 8 in the box, 9 if you count that CB who is kind of playing center field on the backside. The two receivers are man'd up by the CB and FS

unbalancedofftackle3

OSU continues to have problems identifying who to block with their zone scheme.  Both the split end and the LG completely whiff leaving the two frontside LB's unblocked. 

unbalancedofftackle4

There is a danger of a playaction rollout on this play.  If that safety is so far off of the split end, there's a lot of room for him to do a post deep cross, so it's important for the backside DE to keep contain and respect Miller on a rollout. 

unbalancedofftackle5

With the missed block, this is an easy TFL for purdue, but their frontside defenders have also beaten their blockers since they maintained outside leverage and the LB forced the RB to bounce. 

unbalancedweaklead

On this play we've got the same formation, but it's flipped.  Again, Purdue is selling out against the run.  They're showing 9 in the box as that CB is faking a blitz, but he steps back and is in man coverage with the split end.  Again, the TE is inelligible, so guy #5 up there has contain on the strong side and guy #1 has contain on the weakside. 

unbalancedweaklead2

Again, there's a real danger for playaction on that post or crossing route.  The SAM backer has to get into a pass drop if he reads pass blocking from the linemen.  This play turns into a lead draw, so he's okay, but he's in a tough position because he has to help in coverage and watch for the cutback once he sees that the action is going weakside. Fortunately for Purude, the DE beats his block and the FB fails to pick him up. 

unbalancedweaklead3

So this results in another TFL, but if that SAM evacuates his area too quickly, there's going to be a huge cutback lane.  

[ed: time to jump]

Side Note: Derek Dennis's status is day-to-day with an undisclosed injury.

With half of the Big Ten regular season complete, it's time to take a look at the conference to see where Michigan is and what it will take to get a good seed in the Big Ten Tournament. In this post, we'll walk through the series we've already completed and then look at the opponents we still have on the schedule.

So, for all you late comers to the baseball season, here's what you need to know.

Where We've Been

@Indiana

Series Record

2-1

Indiana Recap

Scores

16-10

6-4

6-26

Game One

Wild and crazy high scoring affair as it goes back and forth
after Michigan was all but dead early. Dufek wins it in the
10th with a RBI double. Two bench clearings. Crazy.

Game Two

Brosnahan is sporadic but his emotion carries him through
for the win in a well pitched game by both teams. Michigan's
early lead is enough to get by.

Game Three

Katzman makes the start and can't get through the first. Yours
truly quits the game early as Michigan was down 17.

Outlook Then

For as exciting and tense as the first two games of the series
were, the last game left a sour taste in the mouth. IU was
better than expected and Leininger is the real deal.

While not much has changed in terms of outlook, Indiana hasn't turned out just as good as I expected either. They've been quite inconsistent, with their top hitters going ice cold the weak after they torched us. That freeze of course happened against Ohio State, giving the Buckeyes a pretty easy 2-1 series victory. They did sweep Iowa, though, something Michigan couldn't do.

Purdue

Series Record

2-1

Purdue Recap

Scores

5-8

6-4

9-4

Game One

Alan Oaks continued to struggle and Michigan could do nothing
with Purdue's Matt Bischoff in the loss.

Game Two

Big inning early and a solid Brosnahan start allows Michigan to
coast to a victory with Burgoon locking down the 8-9th.

Game Three

Brandon Sinnery gets his first start and makes good. A 7-run
4th inning caps off Ryan LaMarre's POTW winning series.

Outlook Then

Michigan is going to continue to make decent to good pitchers
look great. We're hitting well overall though, and attendance
has been great. We'll take 2-1 if the loss is Bischoff.

The loss to Bischoff is still nothing to worry about. It really would have helped for Michigan to get a sweep. Ohio State isn't on their schedule, but I'm not sure if that helps or hurts us. Purdue may be able to steal a game from the Buckeyes, or they may get blown out in all three.

@Illinois

Series Record

2-1

Illinois Recap

Scores

17-1

2-6

11-4

Game One

Alan Oaks is back! 8 innings of great pitching and the offense
explodes for 17 runs? We're rolling.

Game Two

The bats fall asleep and Brosnahan has his shaky start that
should be good enough for a win. Bad defense doesn't help.

Game Three

After 3 ugly innings by both teams, Tyler Burgoon steps in and
shuts down the Illini for Pitcher OTW honors. Offense explodes
late, sparked by POTW Patrick Biondi.

Outlook Then

2-1 series win over a BTT contender will work. We really had
a good chance to sweep if offense can stay consistent.

Things haven't changed much here in a week. Illinois lost 2 of 3 at Michigan State, which means the Spartans are just keeping pace with us.

Iowa

Series Record

1-2

Iowa Recap

Scores

2-5

3-5

7-5

Game One

Jarred Hippen is really good. He overshadowed anything
Michigan related in this game.

Game Two

Due to rain in the forecast, it was a double header, & Hippen
momentum carried right through game 2. Michigan grabbed an
early lead then blew a big inning. Brosnahan's luck runs dry.

Game Three

Michigan jumps ahead and, for the most part, stays ahead.
Offense finally shows up late in the game.

Outlook Then

1-2 isn't going to cut it. Losing one to Iowa in the Hippen
start would have been alright. Letting game 2 get away
shows lack of leadership.

That happened. Nothing has happened in our season and it still stings. I can't wait for this weekend to come so I can get it out of my head. Plus, the Buckeyes did us a favor losing a home series to Penn State just so we could keep pace.

After the jump, we look at the present and then haphazardly predict the future.